Virtus Francavilla vs Real Normanna
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group H - 12 • Stadio Giovanni Paolo II • 🌦 16.2°C, 13 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 62.3% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 84.5% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 45% · Yes 55% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 41.4% · Over 58.6% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-0 | Current price not available | 10.4% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Virtus Francavilla · Home
Virtus Francavilla have won four of their last five, scoring 8 and conceding 3 with three clean sheets. They beat Real Normanna 2-1 at home in the latest meeting between the sides.
Real Normanna · Away
Real Normanna drew three of their last five, including 1-1 at Real Forio 2014 and 3-3 at Gladiator. They failed to score in only one of those five matches.
Francavilla's Home Edge Over Normanna
The latest head-to-head, a 0-0 draw with Real Normanna hosting, shows how hard Francavilla found breaking them down away from home. At home the picture differs: Francavilla won the previous meeting 2-1, and their recent home results include 2-0 and 2-0, both with a clean sheet. Normanna's away form is draw-heavy, with 1-1 at Real Forio 2014 and 3-3 at Gladiator, so the model's 2.09 expected goals for Francavilla against 0.96 for Normanna fits a controlled home display rather than a shootout. The evidence supports Virtus Francavilla win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Virtus Francavilla 2.09 – 0.96 Real Normanna · expected total 3.05
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Virtus Francavilla
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Virtus Francavilla
Real Normanna
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone H
Virtus Francavilla
Real Normanna
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone H teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Virtus Francavilla at home · Real Normanna away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Virtus Francavilla (home)
Real Normanna (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Real Normanna 0 wins · 1 draw · Virtus Francavilla 1 win · avg 1.5 goals · BTTS in 1 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb 2026 | Real Normanna | 0–0 | Virtus Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Virtus Francavilla | 2–1 | Real Normanna | Serie D - Girone H |
📈 Recent Form
Virtus Francavilla
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Turris | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 28/10 | Fidelis Andria | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Manfredonia | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Fidelis Andria | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Real Forio 2014 | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 07/10 | Gravina | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Gravina | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 27/09 | Gladiator | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 20/09 | Martina Franca | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 16/09 | Brindisi | Home | 2–1 | W |
Real Normanna
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Real Forio 2014 | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 28/10 | L'Aquila | Home | 6–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Turris | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Gladiator | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 11/10 | Fidelis Andria | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 04/10 | Brindisi | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 27/09 | Gravina | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 20/09 | USD Palmese | Away | 4–3 | W |
| 16/09 | Martina Franca | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Ischia | Away | 2–2 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone H
Virtus Francavilla #1 · 24 pts · Real Normanna #10 · 13 pts
Virtus Francavilla
Real Normanna
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Virtus Francavilla
Real Normanna
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone H predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws