Rio Ave vs SC Braga
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 23:30 UTC+3 • Round 11 • 🌦 17.6°C, 18 km/h, 1.9mm showers
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | 1xBet4.27 | 27.7% | +18.3% |
| Double Chance | X2 | Betano1.16 | 65.4% | -24.1% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano1.88 | 57.7% · No 42.3% | +8.5% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 1xBet2.03 | 47.3% · Over 52.7% | -4% |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Betano8.00 | 13.2% | +5.6% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.5 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 50.3% · Over 49.7% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Rio Ave · Home
Rio Ave have lost three of their last five, including a 0-4 home defeat to Famalicao and a 1-2 loss at Academico Viseu, and failed to score in two of those matches. Their recent xG for over up to five recorded matches is 0.83, while the model expects 1.36 goals here.
SC Braga · Away
Braga also won two and lost three of five, with away defeats at Nacional (0-1) and FC Copenhagen (0-3) among them. Their recent xG for over up to five recorded matches is 0.96, and the model gives them 1.43 expected goals.
H2H points to a draw
The latest H2H was a 3-0 Braga win, but the two prior meetings at Rio Ave produced a 2-2 draw and a 2-1 Rio Ave win. Both teams failed to score in two of their last five, and Braga's away losses at Nacional and Copenhagen show travel vulnerability. A 1-1 correct score fits the 27.7% draw probability and the 47.3% Under 2.5 lean. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:51 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Rio Ave 1.36 – 1.43 SC Braga · expected total 2.79
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Rio Ave
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Rio Ave
SC Braga
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Primeira Liga
Rio Ave
SC Braga
Rank among 18 Primeira Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Rio Ave at home · SC Braga away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Rio Ave (home)
SC Braga (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Rio Ave 1 win · 3 draws · SC Braga 6 wins · avg 2.7 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb 2026 | SC Braga | 3–0 | Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Rio Ave | 2–2 | SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| 02 Mar 2025 | Rio Ave | 2–1 | SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| 29 Sep 2024 | SC Braga | 4–0 | Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| 09 Mar 2024 | Rio Ave | 0–0 | SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| 07 Oct 2023 | SC Braga | 2–1 | Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| 05 Mar 2023 | SC Braga | 2–0 | Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| 11 Sep 2022 | Rio Ave | 2–3 | SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| 17 Apr 2021 | Rio Ave | 0–0 | SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| 22 Dec 2020 | SC Braga | 3–0 | Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
📈 Recent Form
Rio Ave
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Academico Viseu | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 25/10 | Famalicao | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 17/10 | Louletano | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 11/10 | Nacional | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 19/09 | Alverca | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 14/09 | Estrela | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 06/09 | Santa Clara | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 28/08 | Sporting CP | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 22/08 | Estoril | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Porto | Home | 0–2 | L |
SC Braga
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Famalicao | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Nacional | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 22/10 | Gent | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 19/10 | GIL Vicente | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 15/10 | FC Copenhagen | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 09/10 | Sporting CP | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 20/09 | Santa Clara | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 14/09 | Estoril | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 10/09 | Estrela | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 05/09 | Alverca | Away | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Primeira Liga
Rio Ave #16 · 7 pts · SC Braga #8 · 14 pts
Rio Ave
SC Braga
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Rio Ave
SC Braga
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Primeira Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws