Predictions → Scotland Championship

Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline

Ayr Utd
1:1
Full Time · 10 Oct 2026
Dunfermline

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Away 76% 34.2% @2.24 — 43.5% -9.3 pp ❌
Double Chance 12 69% 68.3% @1.35 — 71.8% -3.5 pp ❌
BTTS No 81% 48.9% @2.00 — 47.4% +1.5 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 83% 53.2% @1.85 — 52.6% +0.6 pp ✅
Correct Score 0-1 60% 5.8% @7.50 — 6.6% -0.8 pp ❌
Draw (value pick) Draw 63% 27.4% @3.32 — 28.2% -0.8 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Ayr Utd 1.42 – 1.10 Dunfermline · expected total 2.52

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Ayr Utd

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Dunfermline

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Championship

Ayr Utd

3rd best BTTS rate (50%)

Dunfermline

3rd best defence (0.60 conceded/game) 3rd best BTTS rate (50%) 2nd worst Over 2.5 rate (17%)

Rank among 10 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Ayr Utd at home · Dunfermline away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Ayr Utd (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–2L
W 1
D 2
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Dunfermline (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–3D–1L
W 1
D 3
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Ayr Utd (home)Dunfermline (away)
W 1
D 2
L 2
W 1
D 3
L 1
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
0.80
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Ayr Utd

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Dunfermline Home 1–1 D
03/10 Livingston Away 2–1 W
25/09 Stenhousemuir Home 0–1 L
18/09 Queen's Park Away 2–0 W
12/09 Inverness CT Home 1–3 L

Dunfermline

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Ayr Utd Away 1–1 D
03/10 Aberdeen Home 1–4 L
19/09 Morton Away 1–0 W
12/09 Queen's Park Home 2–0 W
05/09 Arbroath Away 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison — Championship

Ayr Utd #7 · 12 pts —  Dunfermline #6 · 13 pts

Ayr Utd

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–4L
W 3
D 3
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards17
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1

Dunfermline

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–4D–1L
W 3
D 4
L 1
Played8
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Yellow cards14
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Ayr UtdDunfermline
W 3
D 3
L 4
W 3
D 4
L 1
Played
10
8
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
0.60
Clean sheets
2
4
Failed to score
3
2
Yellow cards
17
14
Red cards
2
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/1
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Ayr Utd

4
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
1
31-45
5
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Dunfermline

0-15
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
46-60
1
61-75
2
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws