In their 10 most recent matches, Queen's Park have achieved just 1 win
Scotland Championship Predictions and Betting Tips
Round 15 • 4 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
Regular Season, Round 15
Saturday, November 14
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | DWWWD | WLWWW | 55% | Home | N/A | — | — | |
| 18:00 | WWLWD | DWLWW | 56.9% | Home | N/A | — | — | |
| 18:00 | LWWLD | DDWLD | 29.5% | Draw | N/A | — | — | |
| 18:00 | LWLLL | LDLLL | 57.2% | Home | N/A | — | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — Championship
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
Dunfermline are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
Livingston are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
Partick are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
Raith Rovers are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
Arbroath have won just 0 of their last 5 away matches
PredictLix Championship Facts and Insights
League facts from all completed matches · Updated: November 2, 2026, 21:15 UTC
Results and goal volume
| Metric | Current2026/27 · 64 matches | Previous2025/26 · 186 matches | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | 42.2% | 38.2% | +4.0 pp |
| Draws | 21.9% | 33.9% | -12.0 pp |
| Away wins | 35.9% | 28.0% | +7.9 pp |
| Total goals per match | 2.19 | 2.42 | -0.23 |
| Home goals per match | 1.20 | 1.32 | -0.12 |
| Away goals per match | 0.98 | 1.10 | -0.12 |
| First-half goals per match | 1.17 | 1.13 | +0.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.9% | 70.4% | +1.5 pp |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32.8% | 44.6% | -11.8 pp |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14.1% | 24.2% | -10.1 pp |
Scoring and match patterns
| Metric | Current2026/27 · 64 matches | Previous2025/26 · 186 matches | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 goals | 6.3% | 11.3% | -5.0 pp |
| First-half Over 1.5 goals | 35.9% | 29.6% | +6.3 pp |
| First-half both teams scored | 14.1% | 14.0% | +0.1 pp |
| Both teams scored | 37.5% | 48.9% | -11.4 pp |
| BTTS and Over 2.5 | 25.0% | 33.9% | -8.9 pp |
| Goalless draws (0–0) | 7.8% | 12.9% | -5.1 pp |
| Home clean sheets | 40.6% | 32.8% | +7.8 pp |
| Away clean sheets | 29.7% | 31.2% | -1.5 pp |
| One-goal winning margins | 37.5% | 36.0% | +1.5 pp |
| Second-half Over 1.5 goals | 25.0% | 40.0% | -15.0 pp |
pp = percentage points. Final scores are listed with the home team first.
Most common final scores
Twelve scorelines in descending current-season frequency, continuing from the first table to the second.
| Final score | Current season2026/27 | Previous season2025/26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2–0 | 18.8%12 of 64 | 5.4%10 of 186 | +13.4 pp |
| 1–1 | 12.5%8 of 64 | 15.1%28 of 186 | -2.6 pp |
| 0–1 | 10.9%7 of 64 | 8.6%16 of 186 | +2.3 pp |
| 1–0 | 9.4%6 of 64 | 8.1%15 of 186 | +1.3 pp |
| 1–2 | 9.4%6 of 64 | 5.9%11 of 186 | +3.5 pp |
| 0–0 | 7.8%5 of 64 | 12.9%24 of 186 | -5.1 pp |
| Final score | Current season2026/27 | Previous season2025/26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | 7.8%5 of 64 | 5.4%10 of 186 | +2.4 pp |
| 2–1 | 4.7%3 of 64 | 8.6%16 of 186 | -3.9 pp |
| 3–0 | 3.1%2 of 64 | 3.8%7 of 186 | -0.6 pp |
| 2–2 | 1.6%1 of 64 | 5.4%10 of 186 | -3.8 pp |
| 3–1 | 1.6%1 of 64 | 3.2%6 of 186 | -1.7 pp |
| 3–2 | 1.6%1 of 64 | 3.2%6 of 186 | -1.7 pp |
Five key insights from the season data
- Home wins rose to 42.2% this season from 38.2% last season, while draws fell sharply, so more matches are being decided rather than shared. One possible explanation is that matches are opening up after an early goal, with the trailing side pushing forward and the leading home side holding the advantage.
- Both teams scored in 37.5% of matches this season versus 48.9% last season, a drop of 11.4 percentage points. This could reflect more one-sided game states in which one side scores and then manages the match, rather than both teams trading goals.
- Over 2.5 goals fell to 32.8% this season from 44.6% last season, an 11.8 percentage point decline. One possible explanation is that matches are becoming more cautious after an early goal, with the scoring side protecting the lead instead of the game opening into a high-scoring contest.
- First-half Over 1.5 goals rose to 35.9% this season from 29.6% last season, even as total goals per match fell. This could mean goals are arriving earlier and then the match tightens, with cautious second-half approaches limiting further scoring.
- Second-half Over 1.5 goals dropped to 25.0% this season from 40.0% last season, a 15.0 percentage point fall. One possible explanation is that teams are managing leads or protecting a result after the break, so matches that start openly become more controlled in the second half.
AI-selected and written from the verified figures above · Published: November 1, 2026, 02:37 UTC
Current Standings
Championship · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 25 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
| 2 |
|
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 25 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 |
|
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 25 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
| 4 |
|
13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 23 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
| 5 |
|
13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 20 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 6 |
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 19 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 7 |
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
| 8 |
|
13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 9 |
|
12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 10 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 10 |
|
13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 7 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
League-only form: five most recent matches in this competition, newest first. Prediction tables show form across all competitions.
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 34/34. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 34/34. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 34/34. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 34/34. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 34/34. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Draw Predictions: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 42.3% | 54.2% | 24 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 66.1% | 80.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% | 73.7% | 80.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 53.1% | 61.3% | 31 |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 63.0% | 33.3% | 3 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 53.3% | 45.5% | 33 |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 61.3% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 12.0% | 20.6% | 34 |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 74.7% | 73.3% | 15 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 84.8% | 63.6% | 11 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 66.6% | 62.5% | 8 (small sample) |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 29.2% | 60.0% | 5 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 14
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 22:45 | WLLLW | WWLWD | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 08/11 18:00 | WWDWW | LWWLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 3 – 3 FT | |
| 08/11 18:00 | WLWWW | WWLLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 0 FT | |
| 08/11 18:00 | DWWWW | WDDLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 2 FT | |
| 08/11 18:00 | LDLLL | DDWLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 06/11 22:30 | DDWLD | DWWWW | 29.6% | Draw ✅ | @3.20Dafabet | -5.3% | 0 – 0 FT | |
| 07/11 18:00 | WWLLL | LWWLD | 31% | Draw ❌ | @3.20Bet365 | -0.8% | 4 – 1 FT | |
| 07/11 18:00 | DWLWW | DWWWD | 28.7% | Draw ✅ | @3.30Bet365 | -5.3% | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 07/11 18:00 | WLWWW | LWLLL | 29.1% | Draw ❌ | @3.30Dafabet | -4% | 4 – 3 FT | |
| 07/11 18:00 | LDLLL | WWLWD | 65.5% | Away ✅ | @1.39Pinnacle | -9% | 0 – 1 FT |