Scotland Challenge Cup Predictions and Betting Tips

Round 16 • 8 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
🔍 More Scotland League Tips
Premiership Championship

Round of 16

Tuesday, November 24

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
22:00 DDDWW
Hamilton Academical Hamilton Academical vs Cove Rangers Cove Rangers
WWLWD 25.7% Draw N/A — —
22:00 DWWWD
Livingston Livingston vs Peterhead Peterhead
WWLWW 46% Home N/A — —
22:00 WWDWW
Ross County Ross County vs Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
LWLLL 69.4% Home N/A — —
22:00 LWWLD
Ayr Utd Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT Inverness CT
DWLWW 44.2% Home N/A — —
22:00 DWWWW
Dunfermline Dunfermline vs Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts
WLLWL 51.1% Home N/A — —
22:00 WWLLL
Arbroath Arbroath vs Airdrie United Airdrie United
WLLLW 27.2% Draw N/A — —
22:00 WLDWD
East Kilbride East Kilbride vs Partick Partick
WWLWD 50.6% Home N/A — —
22:00 WWLWW
Clydebank Clydebank vs Queen's Park Queen's Park
LDLLL 60.7% Home N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Challenge Cup

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

Hamilton Academical Unbeaten 10

Hamilton Academical are unbeaten in their last 10 matches

Hamilton Academical — Cove Rangers
Ross County Unbeaten 10

Ross County are unbeaten in their last 10 matches

Ross County — Stenhousemuir
Dunfermline Unbeaten 9 of 10

Dunfermline are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches

Dunfermline — Kelty Hearts
Clydebank Unbeaten 9 of 10

Clydebank are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches

Clydebank — Queen's Park
Livingston Unbeaten 8 of 10

Livingston are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches

Livingston — Peterhead
Inverness CT Unbeaten 8 of 10

Inverness CT are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches

Ayr Utd — Inverness CT
East Kilbride Unbeaten 8 of 10

East Kilbride are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches

East Kilbride — Partick
Arbroath Away wins 0/5

Arbroath have won just 0 of their last 5 away matches

Arbroath — Airdrie United

PredictLix Challenge Cup Facts and Insights

League facts from all completed matches · Updated: November 2, 2026, 21:15 UTC

Results and goal volume

Metric Current2026 · 120 matches Previous2025/26 · 121 matches Change
Home wins 54.2% 63.6% -9.4 pp
Draws 15.0% 15.7% -0.7 pp
Away wins 30.8% 20.7% +10.1 pp
Total goals per match 3.92 3.76 +0.16
Home goals per match 2.21 2.36 -0.15
Away goals per match 1.71 1.40 +0.31
First-half goals per match 1.81 1.73 +0.08
Over 1.5 goals 88.3% 87.6% +0.7 pp
Over 2.5 goals 74.2% 74.4% -0.2 pp
Over 3.5 goals 52.5% 50.4% +2.1 pp

Scoring and match patterns

Metric Current2026 · 120 matches Previous2025/26 · 121 matches Change
Over 4.5 goals 36.7% 32.2% +4.5 pp
First-half Over 1.5 goals 52.5% 54.5% -2.0 pp
First-half both teams scored 25.8% 30.6% -4.8 pp
Both teams scored 63.3% 66.9% -3.6 pp
BTTS and Over 2.5 56.7% 59.5% -2.8 pp
Goalless draws (0–0) 1.7% 0.8% +0.9 pp
Home clean sheets 25.8% 27.3% -1.5 pp
Away clean sheets 12.5% 6.6% +5.9 pp
One-goal winning margins 38.3% 37.2% +1.1 pp
Second-half Over 1.5 goals 60.0% 57.0% +3.0 pp

pp = percentage points. Final scores are listed with the home team first.

Most common final scores

Twelve scorelines in descending current-season frequency, continuing from the first table to the second.

Final score Current season2026 Previous season2025/26 Change
2–1 12.5%15 of 120 10.7%13 of 121 +1.8 pp
1–0 7.5%9 of 120 9.1%11 of 121 -1.6 pp
1–1 6.7%8 of 120 7.4%9 of 121 -0.8 pp
3–2 5.8%7 of 120 2.5%3 of 121 +3.4 pp
3–0 5.0%6 of 120 6.6%8 of 121 -1.6 pp
2–0 4.2%5 of 120 5.0%6 of 121 -0.8 pp
Final score Current season2026 Previous season2025/26 Change
2–2 4.2%5 of 120 3.3%4 of 121 +0.9 pp
4–0 4.2%5 of 120 3.3%4 of 121 +0.9 pp
1–3 4.2%5 of 120 1.7%2 of 121 +2.5 pp
0–2 3.3%4 of 120 0.8%1 of 121 +2.5 pp
1–2 2.5%3 of 120 5.8%7 of 121 -3.3 pp
4–1 2.5%3 of 120 5.0%6 of 121 -2.5 pp

Five key insights from the season data

  • Home wins fell to 54.2% this season from 63.6% last season, while away wins rose to 30.8% from 20.7%. One possible explanation is that home sides are more often caught in transition when pushing for a winner, letting away teams convert game-state openings rather than any single defensive collapse.
  • Both teams scored in 63.3% of matches this season versus 66.9% last season, a 3.6 percentage-point drop. This could reflect more one-sided contests where one side scores early and the other never responds, consistent with away wins climbing while first-half BTTS fell to 25.8% from 30.6%.
  • Away goals per match rose to 1.71 this season from 1.40 last season, a +0.31 change, while home goals slipped to 2.21 from 2.36. One possible explanation is that away teams are more willing to attack after conceding first, trading cautious openings for end-to-end spells that lift their scoring output.
  • Over 4.5 goals occurred in 36.7% of matches this season versus 32.2% last season, a +4.5 percentage-point rise. This may point to matches opening up once an early goal lands, with second-half Over 1.5 also up to 60.0% from 57.0%, suggesting game-state effects rather than uniformly faster starts.
  • Away clean sheets rose to 12.5% this season from 6.6% last season, a +5.9 percentage-point change, even as away goals per match increased. One possible explanation is a split pattern where away sides either shut out hosts or concede heavily, producing more extreme away outcomes rather than a steady defensive improvement.

AI-selected and written from the verified figures above · Published: November 1, 2026, 02:37 UTC

The current season is still in progress; the previous season is complete. Possible explanations are hypotheses based on score patterns, not verified causes. Regression towards last season’s level is a scenario, not a prediction.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

76 matches analysed Updated Nov 3, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
64.5% 49/76
⚽ Both Teams to Score
52.6% 40/76
📈 Over / Under 2.5
55.3% 42/76
🔢 Correct Score
11.8% 9/76
🛡️ Double Chance
88.2% 67/76
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
64.5% 49/76

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 69.4% 25/36
⚽ Both Teams to Score 55.6% 20/36
📈 Over / Under 2.5 52.8% 19/36
🛡️ Double Chance 83.3% 30/36
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% 74.0% 84.6% 13 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 46.9% 57.1% 42
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 64.2% 68.4% 19 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 80+% 80.5% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 52.4% 50.0% 58
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 63.4% 81.8% 11 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 76.4% 33.3% 6 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 80+% 81.6% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 51.4% 49.1% 53
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 64.2% 62.5% 16 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 71.8% 100.0% 6 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 80+% 85.4% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 7.9% 11.8% 76
Double Chance · 80+% 84.0% 91.7% 24 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 68.2% 100.0% 6 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 75.1% 84.8% 46

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: November 3, 2026

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
03/11 22:45 DW
Aberdeen U21 Aberdeen U21 vs Queen's Park Queen's Park
LDLLL 48% Away ❌ @1.72Betano -17.4% 1 – 1 PEN
03/11 22:45 WLLLW
Airdrie United Airdrie United vs Elgin City Elgin City
LL 52.8% Home ✅ @1.82Betano -3.9% 5 – 0 FT
03/11 22:45 LD
Annan Athletic Annan Athletic vs Ayr Utd Ayr Utd
LWWLD 55.7% Away ✅ @1.52Betano -15.3% 0 – 2 FT
03/11 22:45 WWLLL
Arbroath Arbroath vs Queen of the South Queen of the South
LL 52.3% Home ✅ @1.68Dafabet -12.1% 1 – 0 FT
03/11 22:45 LD
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Dunfermline Dunfermline
DWWWW 61.4% Away ✅ @1.35Betano -17.1% 2 – 4 FT
03/11 22:45 WWLWW
Clydebank Clydebank vs Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic
LD 44.3% Home ✅ @2.55Dafabet +13% 1 – 0 FT
03/11 22:45 WLDWD
East Kilbride East Kilbride vs Stirling Albion Stirling Albion
LD 62.8% Home ✅ @1.53Bet365 -3.9% 7 – 3 FT
03/11 22:45 LL
Edinburgh City Edinburgh City vs Partick Partick
WWLWD 64.4% Away ✅ @1.33Betano -14.3% 0 – 3 FT
03/11 22:45 LL
Formartine United Formartine United vs Cove Rangers Cove Rangers
WWLWD 41.4% Away ✅ @2.23Dafabet -7.7% 0 – 2 FT
03/11 22:45 DDDWW
Hamilton Academical Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers Raith Rovers
DDWLD 43.2% Away ❌ @1.97Dafabet -14.9% 1 – 1 PEN
03/11 22:45 DWLWW
Inverness CT Inverness CT vs Montrose Montrose
LW 66.8% Home ✅ @1.40Betano -6.5% 1 – 0 FT
03/11 22:45 WLWWW
Morton Morton vs Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts
WLLWL 62.9% Home ❌ @1.51Dafabet -5% 0 – 1 FT
03/11 22:45 WWDWW
Ross County Ross County vs Celtic II Celtic II
LW 77.3% Home ✅ @1.22Betano -5.7% 2 – 0 FT
03/11 22:45 LD
Spartans Spartans vs Livingston Livingston
DWWWD 61.5% Away ✅ @1.29Betano -20.7% 0 – 2 FT
03/11 22:45 LWLLL
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir vs Berwick Rangers Berwick Rangers
LW 73.3% Home ✅ @1.16Betano -15% 4 – 1 FT
03/11 22:45 LW
St. Mirren U21 St. Mirren U21 vs Peterhead Peterhead
WWLWW 55% Away ✅ @1.53Betano -15.9% 1 – 2 FT