Scotland Challenge Cup Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions

Round 16 • 8 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
🔍 More Scotland League Tips
Premiership Championship

Round of 16

Tuesday, November 24

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
22:00 DDDWW
Hamilton Academical Hamilton Academical vs Cove Rangers Cove Rangers
WWLWD 39.3% Under 2.5 N/A — —
22:00 DWWWD
Livingston Livingston vs Peterhead Peterhead
WWLWW 80.5% Over 2.5 N/A — —
22:00 WWDWW
Ross County Ross County vs Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
LWLLL 75.5% Over 2.5 N/A — —
22:00 LWWLD
Ayr Utd Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT Inverness CT
DWLWW 67.9% Over 2.5 N/A — —
22:00 DWWWW
Dunfermline Dunfermline vs Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts
WLLWL 54.6% Over 2.5 N/A — —
22:00 WWLLL
Arbroath Arbroath vs Airdrie United Airdrie United
WLLLW 45.2% Under 2.5 N/A — —
22:00 WLDWD
East Kilbride East Kilbride vs Partick Partick
WWLWD 78.2% Over 2.5 N/A — —
22:00 WWLWW
Clydebank Clydebank vs Queen's Park Queen's Park
LDLLL 41.4% Under 2.5 N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Challenge Cup for Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

Ross County 2+ scored in 9/10

Ross County scored 2+ goals in 9 of their last 10 matches

Ross County — Stenhousemuir
East Kilbride Over 2.5 in 9/10

Over 2.5 goals in 9 of East Kilbride's last 10 matches

East Kilbride — Partick
Clydebank 2+ scored in 8/10

Clydebank scored 2+ goals in 8 of their last 10 matches

Clydebank — Queen's Park
Airdrie United Over 2.5 in 8/10

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Airdrie United's last 10 matches

Arbroath — Airdrie United
Dunfermline Under 2.5 in 7/10

Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Dunfermline's last 10 matches

Dunfermline — Kelty Hearts
Hamilton Academical 2+ scored in 6/10

Hamilton Academical scored 2+ goals in 6 of their last 10 matches

Hamilton Academical — Cove Rangers
Inverness CT 2+ scored in 6/10

Inverness CT scored 2+ goals in 6 of their last 10 matches

Ayr Utd — Inverness CT
Livingston H2H avg 4.00

Last 4 H2H meetings between Livingston and Peterhead averaged 4.00 goals per game

Livingston — Peterhead
📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

76 matches analysed Updated Nov 3, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
64.5% 49/76
⚽ Both Teams to Score
52.6% 40/76
📈 Over / Under 2.5
55.3% 42/76
🔢 Correct Score
11.8% 9/76
🛡️ Double Chance
88.2% 67/76
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
64.5% 49/76

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 69.4% 25/36
⚽ Both Teams to Score 55.6% 20/36
📈 Over / Under 2.5 52.8% 19/36
🛡️ Double Chance 83.3% 30/36
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% 74.0% 84.6% 13 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 46.9% 57.1% 42
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 64.2% 68.4% 19 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 80+% 80.5% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 52.4% 50.0% 58
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 63.4% 81.8% 11 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 76.4% 33.3% 6 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 80+% 81.6% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 51.4% 49.1% 53
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 64.2% 62.5% 16 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 71.8% 100.0% 6 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 80+% 85.4% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 7.9% 11.8% 76
Double Chance · 80+% 84.0% 91.7% 24 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 68.2% 100.0% 6 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 75.1% 84.8% 46

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: November 3, 2026

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
03/11 22:45 DW
Aberdeen U21 Aberdeen U21 vs Queen's Park Queen's Park
LDLLL 61.4% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.45Betano -11% 1 – 1 PEN
03/11 22:45 WLLLW
Airdrie United Airdrie United vs Elgin City Elgin City
LL 56.3% Over 2.5 ✅ @1.73Bet365 -2.6% 5 – 0 FT
03/11 22:45 LD
Annan Athletic Annan Athletic vs Ayr Utd Ayr Utd
LWWLD 65.4% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.64Pinnacle +7.3% 0 – 2 FT
03/11 22:45 WWLLL
Arbroath Arbroath vs Queen of the South Queen of the South
LL 43% Under 2.5 ✅ @2.40Betfair +3.2% 1 – 0 FT
03/11 22:45 LD
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Dunfermline Dunfermline
DWWWW 63.1% Over 2.5 ✅ @1.48Bet365 -6.6% 2 – 4 FT
03/11 22:45 WWLWW
Clydebank Clydebank vs Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic
LD 40.6% Under 2.5 ✅ @2.55Betfair +3.5% 1 – 0 FT
03/11 22:45 WLDWD
East Kilbride East Kilbride vs Stirling Albion Stirling Albion
LD 74% Over 2.5 ✅ @1.39Pinnacle +2.9% 7 – 3 FT
03/11 22:45 LL
Edinburgh City Edinburgh City vs Partick Partick
WWLWD 70.1% Over 2.5 ✅ @1.48Bet365 +3.7% 0 – 3 FT
03/11 22:45 LL
Formartine United Formartine United vs Cove Rangers Cove Rangers
WWLWD 63.7% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.60Bet365 +1.9% 0 – 2 FT
03/11 22:45 DDDWW
Hamilton Academical Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers Raith Rovers
DDWLD 59.3% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.85Bet365 +9.7% 1 – 1 PEN
03/11 22:45 DWLWW
Inverness CT Inverness CT vs Montrose Montrose
LW 62.3% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.47Betano -8.4% 1 – 0 FT
03/11 22:45 WLWWW
Morton Morton vs Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts
WLLWL 66.9% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.57Bet365 +5% 0 – 1 FT
03/11 22:45 WWDWW
Ross County Ross County vs Celtic II Celtic II
LW 85.4% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.15Betano -1.8% 2 – 0 FT
03/11 22:45 LD
Spartans Spartans vs Livingston Livingston
DWWWD 42.7% Under 2.5 ✅ @2.75Betfair +17.4% 0 – 2 FT
03/11 22:45 LWLLL
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir vs Berwick Rangers Berwick Rangers
LW 66.9% Over 2.5 ✅ @1.33Bet365 -11% 4 – 1 FT
03/11 22:45 LW
St. Mirren U21 St. Mirren U21 vs Peterhead Peterhead
WWLWW 66.6% Over 2.5 ✅ @1.38Pinnacle -8.1% 1 – 2 FT