Scotland Challenge Cup Draw Football Predictions

Round 16 • 2 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
🔍 More Scotland League Tips
Premiership Championship

Round of 16

Tuesday, November 24

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
22:00 DDDWW
Hamilton Academical Hamilton Academical vs Cove Rangers Cove Rangers
WWLWD 25.7% Draw N/A — —
22:00 WWLLL
Arbroath Arbroath vs Airdrie United Airdrie United
WLLLW 27.2% Draw N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Challenge Cup for Draws

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

Dunfermline Drew 4 of 10

Dunfermline have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches

Dunfermline — Kelty Hearts
📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

76 matches analysed Updated Nov 3, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
64.5% 49/76
⚽ Both Teams to Score
52.6% 40/76
📈 Over / Under 2.5
55.3% 42/76
🔢 Correct Score
11.8% 9/76
🛡️ Double Chance
88.2% 67/76
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
64.5% 49/76

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 69.4% 25/36
⚽ Both Teams to Score 55.6% 20/36
📈 Over / Under 2.5 52.8% 19/36
🛡️ Double Chance 83.3% 30/36
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% 74.0% 84.6% 13 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 46.9% 57.1% 42
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 64.2% 68.4% 19 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 80+% 80.5% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 52.4% 50.0% 58
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 63.4% 81.8% 11 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 76.4% 33.3% 6 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 80+% 81.6% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 51.4% 49.1% 53
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 64.2% 62.5% 16 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 71.8% 100.0% 6 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 80+% 85.4% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 7.9% 11.8% 76
Double Chance · 80+% 84.0% 91.7% 24 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 68.2% 100.0% 6 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 75.1% 84.8% 46

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.