Livingston vs Arbroath
Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 • 14:00 UTC+3 • Round 12 • The Home of the Set Fare Arena • ☁️ 5.7°C, 13 km/h overcast
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
| Market | Tip | Confidence | Probability | Odds | Bookmaker | Market implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 85% | 59.5% | — | — | — | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | 79% | 82.7% | — | — | — | — |
| BTTS | No | 83% | 53.8% | — | — | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 82% | 50.8% | — | — | — | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | 76% | 14.6% | — | — | — | — |
⚽ Model expected goals: Livingston 1.46 – 0.61 Arbroath · expected total 2.06
Probabilities are calibrated against this season's real results. Odds are correct at publish time. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Livingston
Arbroath
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Livingston
Arbroath
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks — Championship
Livingston
Arbroath
Rank among 10 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Livingston at home · Arbroath away — the split that matters for this fixture.
Livingston (home)
Arbroath (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scorelines
The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Arbroath 1 win · 0 draws · Livingston 1 win · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 0 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | Arbroath | 1–0 | Livingston | Championship |
| 05 Jul 2021 | Livingston | 4–0 | Arbroath | Friendlies Clubs |
📈 Recent Form
Livingston
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Partick | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 03/10 | Ayr Utd | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 25/09 | Raith Rovers | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Inverness CT | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 11/09 | Morton | Away | 4–1 | W |
Arbroath
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Morton | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 03/10 | Partick | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 25/09 | Queen's Park | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Stenhousemuir | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | Raith Rovers | Away | 0–4 | L |
📊 Season Comparison — Championship
Livingston #4 · 13 pts — Arbroath #8 · 11 pts
Livingston
Arbroath
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Livingston
Arbroath
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws