Scotland Championship Draw Football Predictions

Round 15 • 1 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
🔍 More Scotland League Tips
Premiership Challenge Cup
Value bets in Championship: 7 bets · 28.6% win · profit $-123.93 (¼-Kelly stakes) Full portfolio →

Regular Season, Round 15

Saturday, November 14

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
18:00 LWWLD
Ayr Utd Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers Raith Rovers
DDWLD 29.5% Draw N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Championship for Draws

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

34 matches analysed Updated Nov 7, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
61.8% 21/34
⚽ Both Teams to Score
58.8% 20/34
📈 Over / Under 2.5
47.1% 16/34
🔢 Correct Score
20.6% 7/34
🛡️ Double Chance
67.6% 23/34
🤝 Draw Predictions
60.0% 3/5
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
62.1% 18/29
📌 1X2 · draw picks
60.0% 3/5

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 63.0% 17/27
⚽ Both Teams to Score 63.0% 17/27
📈 Over / Under 2.5 51.9% 14/27
🛡️ Double Chance 66.7% 18/27
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 34/34. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 34/34. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 34/34. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 34/34. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 34/34. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 42.3% 54.2% 24 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 66.1% 80.0% 5 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% 73.7% 80.0% 5 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 53.1% 61.3% 31
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 63.0% 33.3% 3 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 53.3% 45.5% 33
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 61.3% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 12.0% 20.6% 34
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.7% 73.3% 15 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 84.8% 63.6% 11 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 66.6% 62.5% 8 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 29.2% 60.0% 5 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 14

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
06/11 22:30 DDWLD
Raith Rovers Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline Dunfermline
DWWWW 29.6% Draw ✅ @3.20Dafabet -5.3% 0 – 0 FT
07/11 18:00 WWLLL
Arbroath Arbroath vs Ayr Utd Ayr Utd
LWWLD 31% Draw ❌ @3.20Bet365 -0.8% 4 – 1 FT
07/11 18:00 DWLWW
Inverness CT Inverness CT vs Livingston Livingston
DWWWD 28.7% Draw ✅ @3.30Bet365 -5.3% 1 – 1 FT
07/11 18:00 WLWWW
Morton Morton vs Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
LWLLL 29.1% Draw ❌ @3.30Dafabet -4% 4 – 3 FT