Raith Rovers
Under 2.5 in 7/10
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Raith Rovers's last 10 matches
Scotland Championship Correct Score Football Predictions
Round 15 • 4 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
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Regular Season, Round 15
Saturday, November 14
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Score | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | DWWWD | WLWWW | 9.9% | 2-1 | N/A | — | — | |
| 18:00 | WWLWD | DWLWW | 10.1% | 2-0 | N/A | — | — | |
| 18:00 | LWWLD | DDWLD | 14.1% | 1-1 | N/A | — | — | |
| 18:00 | LWLLL | LDLLL | 16.2% | 1-0 | N/A | — | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — Championship for Correct Score
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
Raith Rovers
Under 2.5 in 7/10
Queen's Park
Under 2.5 in 7/10
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Queen's Park's last 10 matches
Dunfermline
Under 2.5 in 7/10
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Dunfermline's last 10 matches
Morton
2+ conceded in 6/10
Morton have conceded 2+ goals in 6 of their last 10 matches
Partick
Clean sheets 6/10
Partick kept a clean sheet in 6 of their last 10 matches
Arbroath
Scored 0 in 6/10
Arbroath have failed to score in 6 of their last 10 matches
Inverness CT
H2H avg 3.00
Last 10 H2H meetings between Inverness CT and Ayr Utd averaged 3.00 goals per game
📡
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
🎯
Match Result (1X2)
61.8%
21/34
⚽
Both Teams to Score
58.8%
20/34
📈
Over / Under 2.5
47.1%
16/34
🔢
Correct Score
20.6%
7/34
🛡️
Double Chance
67.6%
23/34
🤝
Draw Predictions
60.0%
3/5
📌
1X2 · home/away picks
62.1%
18/29
📌
1X2 · draw picks
60.0%
3/5
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
🎯
Match Result (1X2)
63.0%
17/27
⚽
Both Teams to Score
63.0%
17/27
📈
Over / Under 2.5
51.9%
14/27
🛡️
Double Chance
66.7%
18/27
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 34/34. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 34/34. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 34/34. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 34/34. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 34/34. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Draw Predictions: 5/5. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 42.3% | 54.2% | 24 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 66.1% | 80.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% | 73.7% | 80.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 53.1% | 61.3% | 31 |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 63.0% | 33.3% | 3 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 53.3% | 45.5% | 33 |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 61.3% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 12.0% | 20.6% | 34 |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 74.7% | 73.3% | 15 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 84.8% | 63.6% | 11 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 66.6% | 62.5% | 8 (small sample) |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 29.2% | 60.0% | 5 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 14
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Score | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 22:45 | WLLLW | WWLWD | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 08/11 18:00 | WWDWW | LWWLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 3 – 3 FT | |
| 08/11 18:00 | WLWWW | WWLLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 0 FT | |
| 08/11 18:00 | DWWWW | WDDLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 2 FT | |
| 08/11 18:00 | LDLLL | DDWLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 06/11 22:30 | DDWLD | DWWWW | 13.4% | 1-1 ❌ | N/A | — | 0 – 0 FT | |
| 07/11 18:00 | WWLLL | LWWLD | 14.9% | 0-0 ❌ | N/A | — | 4 – 1 FT | |
| 07/11 18:00 | DWLWW | DWWWD | 13.6% | 1-1 ✅ | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 07/11 18:00 | WLWWW | LWLLL | 14.3% | 1-1 ❌ | N/A | — | 4 – 3 FT | |
| 07/11 18:00 | LDLLL | WWLWD | 16.4% | 0-1 ✅ | N/A | — | 0 – 1 FT |
