Stenhousemuir vs Queen's Park
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • Ochilview Park • ⛅ 3.6°C, 6 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 53.4% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 83.4% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 62.4% · Yes 37.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 66.2% · Over 33.8% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 16.7% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Stenhousemuir · Home
Stenhousemuir have failed to score in four of their last five matches, taking only one point from that run while conceding 10 goals. Their sole goal in that sequence came in the 1-1 home draw with Raith Rovers (1-1).
Queen's Park · Away
Queen's Park have lost four of their last five, including a 2-3 defeat at Ayr Utd (2-3) and a 0-2 loss at Morton (0-2). They did beat Inverness CT 2-1 at home (2-1), but failed to score in three of those five games.
Thin margins favour home side
The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Queen's Park hosted Stenhousemuir on 22 Aug 2026 and lost 0-2, with Stenhousemuir scoring twice away from home. Stenhousemuir's recent scoring has been scarce, with one goal across five matches, yet the model gives them 1.39 expected goals against a Queen's Park side allowing nine goals in five. Queen's Park's away form includes the 0-2 at Morton and the 2-3 at Ayr Utd, so a low-scoring home win fits the 1-0 correct score and the Under 2.5 lean. The evidence supports Stenhousemuir win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Stenhousemuir 1.39 – 0.66 Queen's Park · expected total 2.06
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Stenhousemuir
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Stenhousemuir
Queen's Park
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Championship
Stenhousemuir
Queen's Park
Rank among 10 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Stenhousemuir at home · Queen's Park away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Stenhousemuir (home)
Queen's Park (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Queen's Park 5 wins · 2 draws · Stenhousemuir 2 wins · avg 2.4 goals · BTTS in 4 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | Queen's Park | 0–2 | Stenhousemuir | Championship |
| 10 Apr 2021 | Stenhousemuir | 1–3 | Queen's Park | League Two |
| 28 Nov 2020 | Queen's Park | 3–1 | Stenhousemuir | League Two |
| 07 Mar 2020 | Stenhousemuir | 0–0 | Queen's Park | League Two |
| 04 Jan 2020 | Queen's Park | 2–1 | Stenhousemuir | League Two |
| 02 Nov 2019 | Stenhousemuir | 0–3 | Queen's Park | League Two |
| 10 Aug 2019 | Queen's Park | 1–1 | Stenhousemuir | League Two |
| 29 Apr 2017 | Queen's Park | 0–2 | Stenhousemuir | League One |
| 11 Feb 2017 | Stenhousemuir | 0–2 | Queen's Park | League One |
📈 Recent Form
Stenhousemuir
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Livingston | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 27/10 | Dunfermline | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 24/10 | Partick | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 17/10 | Raith Rovers | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 10/10 | Inverness CT | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 25/09 | Ayr Utd | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Arbroath | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 15/09 | Partick | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 11/09 | Heart Of Midlothian | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 04/09 | Livingston | Away | 1–0 | W |
Queen's Park
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Ayr Utd | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 24/10 | Dunfermline | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 17/10 | Morton | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 13/10 | Inverness CT | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Raith Rovers | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 25/09 | Arbroath | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 18/09 | Ayr Utd | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Dunfermline | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 05/09 | Morton | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 29/08 | Partick | Away | 0–0 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Championship
Stenhousemuir #4 · 23 pts · Queen's Park #10 · 7 pts
Stenhousemuir
Queen's Park
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Stenhousemuir
Queen's Park
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws