Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • Somerset Park • ☀️ 1.1°C, 15 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 03 Nov 2026 10:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 29.8% | — |
| Double Chance | X2 | Current price not available | 66.6% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 51.5% · No 48.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 55.2% · Over 44.8% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Current price not available | 14.2% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Ayr Utd · Home
Ayr Utd have won two of their last five but failed to score in two of them, including home defeats to Partick (0-1) and Stenhousemuir (0-1). Their home results are mixed: a 3-2 win over Queen's Park (3-2) and a 1-1 draw with Dunfermline (1-1).
Raith Rovers · Away
Raith Rovers have won three of their last five, scoring 9 and conceding 4, with a 4-0 away win at Arbroath (4-0) and a 2-0 home win over Queen's Park (2-0). The latest H2H was a 2-0 Raith win (2-0), following a 3-0 Raith win (3-0).
Raith edge but draw fits
Raith Rovers have won the last two H2H meetings, 2-0 (2-0) and 3-0 (3-0), yet Ayr won the earlier one 2-1 (2-1). Ayr have failed to score in two of their last five, while Raith kept two clean sheets in five. The model gives Ayr 1.2 expected goals and Raith 1.27, a narrow gap that supports a tight, low-scoring contest. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 03 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Ayr Utd 1.20 – 1.27 Raith Rovers · expected total 2.47
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Ayr Utd
Raith Rovers
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Championship
Ayr Utd
Raith Rovers
Rank among 10 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Ayr Utd at home · Raith Rovers away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Ayr Utd (home)
Raith Rovers (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Ayr Utd 5 wins · 0 draws · Raith Rovers 5 wins · avg 2.4 goals · BTTS in 2 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | Raith Rovers | 2–0 | Ayr Utd | Championship |
| 27 Mar 2026 | Raith Rovers | 3–0 | Ayr Utd | Championship |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Ayr Utd | 2–1 | Raith Rovers | Championship |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Raith Rovers | 0–2 | Ayr Utd | Championship |
| 09 Aug 2025 | Ayr Utd | 0–1 | Raith Rovers | Championship |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Raith Rovers | 1–0 | Ayr Utd | Championship |
| 04 Jan 2025 | Ayr Utd | 3–0 | Raith Rovers | Championship |
| 01 Nov 2024 | Raith Rovers | 2–0 | Ayr Utd | Championship |
| 08 Sep 2024 | Ayr Utd | 3–2 | Raith Rovers | Challenge Cup |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Ayr Utd | 2–0 | Raith Rovers | Championship |
📈 Recent Form
Ayr Utd
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Queen's Park | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 16/10 | Partick | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 10/10 | Dunfermline | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 03/10 | Livingston | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 25/09 | Stenhousemuir | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 18/09 | Queen's Park | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Inverness CT | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 05/09 | Partick | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 29/08 | Morton | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 22/08 | Raith Rovers | Away | 0–2 | L |
Raith Rovers
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Arbroath | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Inverness CT | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Stenhousemuir | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 10/10 | Queen's Park | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Morton | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 25/09 | Livingston | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Partick | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 12/09 | Arbroath | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 05/09 | Inverness CT | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 28/08 | Dunfermline | Away | 0–1 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Championship
Ayr Utd #7 · 15 pts · Raith Rovers #2 · 24 pts
Ayr Utd
Raith Rovers
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Ayr Utd
Raith Rovers
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws