Predictions → Scotland Championship

Morton vs Raith Rovers

Morton
1:2
Full Time · 03 Oct 2026
Raith Rovers

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Away 87% 63.7% @1.57 — 63.5% +0.2 pp ✅
Double Chance X2 77% 79.6% @1.16 — 84.7% -5.1 pp ✅
BTTS No 84% 55.3% @1.80 — 52.6% +2.7 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 85% 57.3% @1.95 — 50.8% +6.5 pp ❌
Correct Score 0-1 76% 14.9% @7.43 — 7.1% +7.8 pp ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Morton 0.64 – 1.27 Raith Rovers · expected total 1.91

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Morton

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Raith Rovers

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
4/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Championship

Morton

Worst defence (1.80 conceded/game) Best BTTS rate (67%) Best Over 2.5 rate (67%) Worst clean sheets (0)

Raith Rovers

Best attack (1.50 goals/game) 3rd best defence (0.60 conceded/game) 3rd best clean sheets (5)

Rank among 10 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Morton at home · Raith Rovers away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Morton (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–5L
L 5
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2

Raith Rovers (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–1L
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Morton (home)Raith Rovers (away)
L 5
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
0.60
Clean sheets
0
2
Failed to score
2
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Morton

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Arbroath Away 2–1 W
03/10 Raith Rovers Home 1–2 L
25/09 Inverness CT Away 0–2 L
19/09 Dunfermline Home 0–1 L
11/09 Livingston Home 1–4 L

Raith Rovers

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Queen's Park Home 2–0 W
03/10 Morton Away 2–1 W
25/09 Livingston Home 0–2 L
19/09 Partick Away 0–0 D
12/09 Arbroath Home 4–0 W

📊 Season Comparison — Championship

Morton #9 · 4 pts —  Raith Rovers #2 · 20 pts

Morton

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–8L
W 1
D 1
L 8
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score4
Yellow cards18
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Raith Rovers

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–2D–2L
W 6
D 2
L 2
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets5
Failed to score3
Yellow cards19
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0
MortonRaith Rovers
W 1
D 1
L 8
W 6
D 2
L 2
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
0.70
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
0.60
Clean sheets
0
5
Failed to score
4
3
Yellow cards
18
19
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
3/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Morton

0-15
1
4
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
3
3
61-75
1
5
76-90
scored conceded

Raith Rovers

0-15
5
1
16-30
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
61-75
3
2
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws