Predictions → Scotland Championship

Livingston vs Ayr Utd

Livingston
1:2
Full Time · 03 Oct 2026
Ayr Utd

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 89% 69.5% @1.59 — 63.2% +6.3 pp ❌
Double Chance 1X 81% 84.9% @1.19 — 83.9% +1 pp ❌
BTTS No 82% 51.4% @2.05 — 46.2% +5.2 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81% 48.7% @2.16 — 44.8% +3.9 pp ❌
Correct Score 2-0 68% 10.2% @9.00 — 5.9% +4.3 pp ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Livingston 2.03 – 0.77 Ayr Utd · expected total 2.80

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Livingston

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Ayr Utd

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Championship

Livingston

2nd best attack (1.40 goals/game) Best BTTS rate (67%) Best Over 2.5 rate (67%)

Ayr Utd

3rd best BTTS rate (50%)

Rank among 10 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Livingston at home · Ayr Utd away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Livingston (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–3L
W 2
D 1
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1

Ayr Utd (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–2L
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Livingston (home)Ayr Utd (away)
W 2
D 1
L 3
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played
6
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.00
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Livingston

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Partick Home 1–2 L
03/10 Ayr Utd Home 1–2 L
25/09 Raith Rovers Away 2–0 W
19/09 Inverness CT Home 2–2 D
11/09 Morton Away 4–1 W

Ayr Utd

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Dunfermline Home 1–1 D
03/10 Livingston Away 2–1 W
25/09 Stenhousemuir Home 0–1 L
18/09 Queen's Park Away 2–0 W
12/09 Inverness CT Home 1–3 L

📊 Season Comparison — Championship

Livingston #4 · 13 pts —  Ayr Utd #7 · 12 pts

Livingston

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–5L
W 4
D 1
L 5
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards20
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Ayr Utd

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–4L
W 3
D 3
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards17
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1
LivingstonAyr Utd
W 4
D 1
L 5
W 3
D 3
L 4
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.10
Clean sheets
3
2
Failed to score
3
3
Yellow cards
20
17
Red cards
1
2
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
1/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Livingston

3
0-15
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
4
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
1
76-90
5
scored conceded

Ayr Utd

4
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
1
31-45
5
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws