Predictions → Scotland Championship

Ayr Utd vs Stenhousemuir

Ayr Utd
0:1
Full Time · 25 Sep 2026
Stenhousemuir

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 77% 42.1% @2.27 — 40.5% +1.6 pp ❌
Double Chance 12 73% 74.5% @1.28 — 70.4% +4.1 pp ❌
BTTS Yes 85% 56.7% @1.83 — 50.4% +6.3 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81% 49.6% @2.10 — 43.7% +5.9 pp ❌
Correct Score 2-1 62% 6.9% @9.00 — 4.7% +2.2 pp ❌
Draw (value pick) Draw 61% 27.1% @3.02 — 29.6% -2.5 pp ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Ayr Utd 1.77 – 1.53 Stenhousemuir · expected total 3.30

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Ayr Utd

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Stenhousemuir

BTTS
0/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
4/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Championship

Ayr Utd

3rd best BTTS rate (50%)

Stenhousemuir

3rd best attack (1.30 goals/game) 2nd best defence (0.40 conceded/game) Worst BTTS rate (0%) 2nd worst Over 2.5 rate (17%) Best clean sheets (6)

Rank among 10 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Ayr Utd at home · Stenhousemuir away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Ayr Utd (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–2L
W 1
D 2
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Stenhousemuir (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–1L
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Ayr Utd (home)Stenhousemuir (away)
W 1
D 2
L 2
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
0.60
Clean sheets
1
3
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Ayr Utd

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Dunfermline Home 1–1 D
03/10 Livingston Away 2–1 W
25/09 Stenhousemuir Home 0–1 L
18/09 Queen's Park Away 2–0 W
12/09 Inverness CT Home 1–3 L

Stenhousemuir

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Inverness CT Away 0–2 L
25/09 Ayr Utd Away 1–0 W
19/09 Arbroath Home 1–0 W
15/09 Partick Home 1–0 W
11/09 Heart Of Midlothian Home 0–3 L

📊 Season Comparison — Championship

Ayr Utd #7 · 12 pts —  Stenhousemuir #1 · 22 pts

Ayr Utd

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–4L
W 3
D 3
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards17
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1

Stenhousemuir

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–1D–1L
W 7
D 1
L 1
Played9
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.40
Clean sheets6
Failed to score1
Yellow cards21
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Ayr UtdStenhousemuir
W 3
D 3
L 4
W 7
D 1
L 1
Played
10
9
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
0.40
Clean sheets
2
6
Failed to score
3
1
Yellow cards
17
21
Red cards
2
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/1
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Ayr Utd

4
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
1
31-45
5
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Stenhousemuir

0-15
1
2
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
4
61-75
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws