Hamilton Academical are unbeaten in their last 10 matches
Scotland Challenge Cup Double Chance Football Predictions
Round 16 • 8 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
Round of 16
Tuesday, November 24
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Double Chance | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:00 | DDDWW |
Hamilton Academical
vs
Cove Rangers
|
WWLWD | 67.5% | 1X | N/A | — | — |
| 22:00 | DWWWD |
Livingston
vs
Peterhead
|
WWLWW | 78.9% | 12 | N/A | — | — |
| 22:00 | WWDWW |
Ross County
vs
Stenhousemuir
|
LWLLL | 86.6% | 1X | N/A | — | — |
| 22:00 | LWWLD |
Ayr Utd
vs
Inverness CT
|
DWLWW | 76% | 12 | N/A | — | — |
| 22:00 | DWWWW |
Dunfermline
vs
Kelty Hearts
|
WLLWL | 76.9% | 1X | N/A | — | — |
| 22:00 | WWLLL |
Arbroath
vs
Airdrie United
|
WLLLW | 66.4% | X2 | N/A | — | — |
| 22:00 | WLDWD |
East Kilbride
vs
Partick
|
WWLWD | 78.9% | 12 | N/A | — | — |
| 22:00 | WWLWW |
Clydebank
vs
Queen's Park
|
LDLLL | 83.4% | 1X | N/A | — | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — Challenge Cup for Double Chance
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
Ross County are unbeaten in their last 10 matches
Dunfermline are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
Clydebank are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
Livingston are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
Inverness CT are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
East Kilbride are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
Arbroath have won just 0 of their last 5 away matches
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 76/76. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% | 74.0% | 84.6% | 13 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 46.9% | 57.1% | 42 |
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 64.2% | 68.4% | 19 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 80+% | 80.5% | 50.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 52.4% | 50.0% | 58 |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 63.4% | 81.8% | 11 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 70-79% | 76.4% | 33.3% | 6 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 80+% | 81.6% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 51.4% | 49.1% | 53 |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 64.2% | 62.5% | 16 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% | 71.8% | 100.0% | 6 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 80+% | 85.4% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 76 |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 84.0% | 91.7% | 24 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 68.2% | 100.0% | 6 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 75.1% | 84.8% | 46 |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: November 3, 2026
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Double Chance | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 22:45 | DW |
Aberdeen U21
vs
Queen's Park
|
LDLLL | 77.1% | 12 ❌ | @1.25William Hill | -3.6% | 1 – 1 PEN |
| 03/11 22:45 | WLLLW |
Airdrie United
vs
Elgin City
|
LL | 77.3% | 1X ✅ | @1.27Betano | -1.8% | 5 – 0 FT |
| 03/11 22:45 | LD |
Annan Athletic
vs
Ayr Utd
|
LWWLD | 79.5% | 12 ✅ | @1.22William Hill | -3% | 0 – 2 FT |
| 03/11 22:45 | WWLLL |
Arbroath
vs
Queen of the South
|
LL | 76.6% | 1X ✅ | @1.20Betano | -8.1% | 1 – 0 FT |
| 03/11 22:45 | LD |
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
vs
Dunfermline
|
DWWWW | 80.9% | 12 ✅ | @1.17William Hill | -5.3% | 2 – 4 FT |
| 03/11 22:45 | WWLWW |
Clydebank
vs
Alloa Athletic
|
LD | 76% | 12 ✅ | @1.25William Hill | -5% | 1 – 0 FT |
| 03/11 22:45 | WLDWD |
East Kilbride
vs
Stirling Albion
|
LD | 81.6% | 1X ✅ | @1.18Betano | -3.7% | 7 – 3 FT |
| 03/11 22:45 | LL |
Edinburgh City
vs
Partick
|
WWLWD | 82.7% | 12 ✅ | @1.17William Hill | -3.2% | 0 – 3 FT |
| 03/11 22:45 | LL |
Formartine United
vs
Cove Rangers
|
WWLWD | 76% | 12 ✅ | @1.30Bet365 | -1.2% | 0 – 2 FT |
| 03/11 22:45 | DDDWW |
Hamilton Academical
vs
Raith Rovers
|
DDWLD | 75.7% | 12 ❌ | @1.30William Hill | -1.6% | 1 – 1 PEN |
| 03/11 22:45 | DWLWW |
Inverness CT
vs
Montrose
|
LW | 85.8% | 1X ✅ | @1.17Bet365 | +0.4% | 1 – 0 FT |
| 03/11 22:45 | WLWWW |
Morton
vs
Kelty Hearts
|
WLLWL | 82.7% | 1X ❌ | @1.14BetVictor | -5.7% | 0 – 1 FT |
| 03/11 22:45 | WWDWW |
Ross County
vs
Celtic II
|
LW | 89.4% | 1X ✅ | @1.07Betano | -4.3% | 2 – 0 FT |
| 03/11 22:45 | LD |
Spartans
vs
Livingston
|
DWWWD | 81.4% | X2 ✅ | @1.07BetVictor | -12.9% | 0 – 2 FT |
| 03/11 22:45 | LWLLL |
Stenhousemuir
vs
Berwick Rangers
|
LW | 88.6% | 1X ✅ | @1.04Betano | -7.9% | 4 – 1 FT |
| 03/11 22:45 | LW |
St. Mirren U21
vs
Peterhead
|
WWLWW | 78.9% | 12 ✅ | @1.22William Hill | -3.7% | 1 – 2 FT |