Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:15 UTC+3 • Round 12 • RCDE Stadium • ☁️ 17.7°C, 5 km/h overcast
Snapshotted at publish: No at 2.00 (58.2%, Model EV +16.4%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 1xBet2.30 | 44.1% | +1.4% |
| Double Chance | 1X | 1xBet1.37 | 72.9% | -0.1% |
| BTTS | No | William Hill2.00 | 59.4% · Yes 40.6% | +18.8% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Pinnacle1.86 | 57.1% · Over 42.9% | +6.2% |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Bet3658.00 | 14.7% | +17.6% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.2 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Betano1.91 | 52.4% · Over 47.6% | +0.1% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Espanyol · Home
Espanyol have won only one of their last five, but that win was a 1-0 away result against Villarreal. Their recent xG for of 1.22 is close to a model expected goals figure of 1.23, so a narrow home edge is plausible.
Deportivo La Coruna · Away
Deportivo La Coruna are without a win in five, with two draws and three defeats, and they failed to score in the 0-1 loss at Atletico Madrid. Their recent xG for of 1.72 sits well above a model expected goals figure of 0.81, which points to a modest attacking forecast.
H2H and low-scoring pattern
The latest head-to-head, on 23 Feb 2018, finished 0-0 in Deportivo La Coruna's home fixture, while Espanyol's home meeting in the same season ended 4-1. Deportivo have no clean sheet in their last five and conceded 10 goals across those matches, which keeps a low-scoring home win realistic. Espanyol's 1-0 win at Villarreal shows they can edge a tight game, and the 1-0 correct score fits that pattern. The evidence supports Espanyol win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Espanyol 1.23 – 0.81 Deportivo La Coruna · expected total 2.04
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Espanyol
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Espanyol
Deportivo La Coruna
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: La Liga
Espanyol
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Deportivo La Coruna
Rank among 20 La Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Espanyol at home · Deportivo La Coruna away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Espanyol (home)
Deportivo La Coruna (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Deportivo La Coruna 2 wins · 4 draws · Espanyol 4 wins · avg 1.8 goals · BTTS in 3 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2018 | Deportivo La Coruna | 0–0 | Espanyol | La Liga |
| 24 Sep 2017 | Espanyol | 4–1 | Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| 07 May 2017 | Deportivo La Coruna | 1–2 | Espanyol | La Liga |
| 06 Jan 2017 | Espanyol | 1–1 | Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| 20 Feb 2016 | Espanyol | 1–0 | Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| 27 Sep 2015 | Deportivo La Coruna | 3–0 | Espanyol | La Liga |
| 22 Mar 2015 | Deportivo La Coruna | 0–0 | Espanyol | La Liga |
| 26 Oct 2014 | Espanyol | 0–0 | Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| 19 May 2013 | Deportivo La Coruna | 2–0 | Espanyol | La Liga |
| 21 Dec 2012 | Espanyol | 2–0 | Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
📈 Recent Form
Espanyol
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Villarreal | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Racing Santander | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Atletico Madrid | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 09/10 | Malaga | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 18/09 | Elche | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 15/09 | Rayo Vallecano | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Osasuna | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 06/09 | Sevilla | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 29/08 | Real Sociedad | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 22/08 | Real Madrid | Home | 1–2 | L |
Deportivo La Coruna
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Atletico Madrid | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 16/10 | Levante | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 11/10 | Real Sociedad | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 02/10 | FC Porto | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 25/09 | Penafiel | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 20/09 | Real Betis | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 16/09 | Sevilla | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 13/09 | Getafe | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 05/09 | Villarreal | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 30/08 | Valencia | Home | 3–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: La Liga
Espanyol #14 · 11 pts · Deportivo La Coruna #13 · 11 pts
Espanyol
Deportivo La Coruna
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Espanyol
Deportivo La Coruna
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Espanyol
- ❌ K. Garcia: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ J. Puado: Knee Injury
- ❌ L. Cabrera: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ B. Zaragoza: Knee Injury
- ❌ A. Gorosabel: Injury
- ❌ Jofre: Groin Injury
- ❌ O. El Hilali: Suspended (Red Card)
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): U. Gonzalez (Coach's decision), C. Riedel (Coach's decision).
Deportivo La Coruna
- ❌ N. Carrillo: Injury
- ❌ Y. Hernandez: Groin Injury
- ❌ A. Traore: Muscle Injury
- ❌ A. Altimira: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ Angelino: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ P. Aubameyang: Knee Injury
- ❌ M. Casado: Collarbone injury
- ❌ Z. Eddahchouri: Wrist Injury
- ❌ L. Amatucci: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ B. Ede: Hamstring Injury
More: La Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws