Malaga vs Racing Santander
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 16:00 UTC+3 • Round 12 • Estadio La Rosaleda • 🌧 21°C, 8 km/h, 0.1mm rain
Snapshotted at publish: 0-0 at 15.25 (16.0%, Model EV +144.0%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | 1xBet3.72 | 28.4% | +5.6% |
| Double Chance | 1X | 1xBet1.46 | 67.6% | -1.3% |
| BTTS | No | Betfair2.40 | 61.1% · Yes 38.9% | +46.6% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 1xBet2.28 | 51.3% · Over 48.7% | +17% |
| Correct Score | 0-0 | Marathonbet15.25 | 16.2% | +147.1% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.1 exp.) | Over 9.5 | 1xBet1.60 | 61.1% · Under 38.9% | -2.2% |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Malaga · Home
Malaga drew 1-1 at home with Racing Santander in the latest head-to-head (24 May 2026), one of two draws in their last five. Their recent record shows 8 goals scored and 9 conceded across five matches, with no failure to score.
Racing Santander · Away
Racing Santander have lost three of their last five, including a 0-5 defeat at Celta Vigo and a 0-3 home loss to Real Madrid. They failed to score in three of those five matches, managing 4 goals while conceding 13.
H2H Draw Points To Stalemate
The latest head-to-head between these sides finished 1-1 at Malaga, and the two meetings before that were decided by single-goal margins. Malaga's recent run includes draws with Alaves (1-1) and Espanyol (1-1), showing they can share the points. Racing Santander failed to score in three of their last five, which supports a low-scoring outcome and the Under 2.5 lean. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Malaga 1.02 – 0.88 Racing Santander · expected total 1.90
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Malaga
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Malaga
Racing Santander
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: La Liga
Malaga
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Racing Santander
Rank among 20 La Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Malaga at home · Racing Santander away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Malaga (home)
Racing Santander (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Malaga 4 wins · 3 draws · Racing Santander 3 wins · avg 1.9 goals · BTTS in 3 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | Malaga | 1–1 | Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Racing Santander | 3–0 | Malaga | Segunda División |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Racing Santander | 2–1 | Malaga | Segunda División |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Malaga | 0–0 | Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| 05 Mar 2023 | Malaga | 0–1 | Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| 01 Oct 2022 | Racing Santander | 0–0 | Malaga | Segunda División |
| 23 Feb 2020 | Malaga | 2–0 | Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| 17 Aug 2019 | Racing Santander | 0–1 | Malaga | Segunda División |
| 09 Apr 2012 | Malaga | 3–0 | Racing Santander | La Liga |
| 22 Nov 2011 | Racing Santander | 1–3 | Malaga | La Liga |
📈 Recent Form
Malaga
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Real Betis | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 27/10 | Alcazar | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 23/10 | Alaves | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Real Sociedad | Home | 2–5 | L |
| 09/10 | Espanyol | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 20/09 | Getafe | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 17/09 | Villarreal | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 13/09 | Celta Vigo | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 06/09 | Levante | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 30/08 | Real Madrid | Away | 0–4 | L |
Racing Santander
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Real Madrid | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 24/10 | Espanyol | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 18/10 | Osasuna | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Valencia | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 19/09 | Celta Vigo | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 16/09 | Barcelona | Away | 2–7 | L |
| 12/09 | Alaves | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 05/09 | Rayo Vallecano | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 28/08 | Elche | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 23/08 | Getafe | Away | 0–1 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: La Liga
Malaga #20 · 5 pts · Racing Santander #16 · 11 pts
Malaga
Racing Santander
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Malaga
Racing Santander
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Malaga
- ❌ F. Calero: Ribs Injury
- ❌ M. Diarra: Calf Injury
- ❌ Juanpe: Muscle Injury
- ❌ D. Murillo: Injury
- ❌ A. Nino: Injury
- ❌ A. Ochoa: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ J. Lobete: Knee Injury
- ❌ A. Aznou: Muscle Injury
- ❌ C. Dotor: Illness
- ❌ A. Pastor: Illness
- ❌ J. Cajuste: Injury
- ❌ J. Cruz: Muscle Injury
- ❌ P. Martinez: Foot Injury
- ❌ J. Munoz: Calf Injury
- ❌ A. Recio: Illness
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): J. Salinas (Loan agreement).
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): H. Abaida; not counted as confirmed absences.
Racing Santander
- ❌ G. Guliashvili: Leg Injury
- ❌ Pedro Felipe: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ A. Martin: Knee Injury
- ❌ S. Eriksson: Shoulder Injury
- ❌ A. Almeida: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ J. Salinas: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): I. Luque; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: La Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws