Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Thu, 05 Nov 2026 • 23:00 UTC+3 • League Stage - 4 • Estadio Algarve • ☁️ 14.1°C, 2 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 1.78 → 1.8 ▲1% | Betano1.80 | 51.4% | -7.5% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.23 | 77.1% | -5.2% |
| BTTS | No | Betfair1.87 | 52.4% · Yes 47.6% | -2% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 1xBet1.85 | 54.6% · Over 45.4% | +1% |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Bet3656.50 | 11.2% | -27.2% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.8 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Betano1.75 | 55.4% · Over 44.6% | -3.1% |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Torreense 51.4% · Draw 25.7% · Ararat-Armenia 22.9%. Selected outcome: Torreense win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Torreense 1.24, Ararat-Armenia 1.05, expected total 2.29.
Price check
The model favours Torreense win, but the displayed price does not offer positive model EV.
Form / H2H
Torreense: L-L-L-W-D in their last five matches.
Ararat-Armenia: W-L-W-L-D in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Torreense
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Torreense
Ararat-Armenia
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Torreense at home · Ararat-Armenia away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Torreense (home)
Ararat-Armenia (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
📈 Recent Form
Torreense
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Ferencvarosi TC | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 15/10 | Sunderland | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Tondela | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 17/09 | Lillestrom | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 11/09 | Leixoes | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 05/09 | Benfica B | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 29/08 | Vizela | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 22/08 | Lusitânia Lourosa | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 15/08 | Penafiel | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 09/08 | Farense | Away | 1–2 | L |
Ararat-Armenia
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Gandzasar | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 26/10 | FC Noah | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 22/10 | AZ Alkmaar | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 18/10 | BKMA | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 15/10 | Jagiellonia | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Alashkert | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 03/10 | Ararat | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Shirak | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 16/09 | Sparta Praha | Home | 1–4 | L |
| 11/09 | Syunik | Home | 3–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: UEFA Europa League
Torreense #28 · 3 pts · Ararat-Armenia #36 · 0 pts
Torreense
Ararat-Armenia
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Torreense
Ararat-Armenia
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Torreense
- ❌ N. Jatta: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ A. Baradji: Injury
Ararat-Armenia
- ❌ P. Ayongo: Off the roster
- ❌ Z. Banjaqui: Injury
More: UEFA Europa League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws