San Lorenzo vs Platense
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Mon, 09 Nov 2026 • 00:00 UTC+3 • Clausura - 16 • Estadio Pedro Bidegain
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 42.1% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 74.5% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 58.1% · Yes 41.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 65.9% · Over 34.1% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 13.8% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.8 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 51.9% · Under 48.1% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
San Lorenzo · Home
San Lorenzo's recent 1-0 home win over Deportivo Riestra and 0-0 home draw with Newells Old Boys show a low-scoring home profile, with two clean sheets in five. Their historical weighted xG over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics is 0.9, against a model expected goals of 1.2 for this fixture.
Platense · Away
Platense won 2-1 at Gimnasia M. and drew 2-2 at Velez Sarsfield, yet their historical weighted xG over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics is 1.54 versus a model expected goals of 0.87 here. They failed to score in only one of those five matches.
H2H Away Wins Shape Home Case
The latest H2H, on 25 Apr 2026, ended 0-1 with Platense as hosts, and the 2025 meeting in San Lorenzo finished 0-1 to Platense. Those away wins for the visitor sit alongside San Lorenzo's two home clean sheets in five recent matches. The evidence supports San Lorenzo win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:51 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: San Lorenzo 1.20 – 0.87 Platense · expected total 2.07
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
San Lorenzo
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
San Lorenzo
Platense
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo
Platense
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 30 Liga Profesional teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
San Lorenzo at home · Platense away, the split that matters for this fixture.
San Lorenzo (home)
Platense (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Platense 2 wins · 2 draws · San Lorenzo 5 wins · avg 1.8 goals · BTTS in 4 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Platense | 0–1 | San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Platense | 2–1 | San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 25 May 2025 | San Lorenzo | 0–1 | Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 14 Feb 2025 | San Lorenzo | 2–1 | Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 01 Sep 2024 | Platense | 1–2 | San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 10 Mar 2024 | Platense | 0–0 | San Lorenzo | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| 27 Oct 2023 | San Lorenzo | 1–1 | Platense | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| 23 Apr 2023 | San Lorenzo | 1–0 | Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 17 Aug 2022 | San Lorenzo | 2–0 | Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
📈 Recent Form
San Lorenzo
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Velez Sarsfield | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 25/10 | Newells Old Boys | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 19/10 | Estudiantes L.P. | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Deportivo Riestra | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Defensa Y Justicia | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 20/09 | Boca Juniors | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 14/09 | Independiente | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 06/09 | Talleres Cordoba | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 01/09 | Instituto Cordoba | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 22/08 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | Away | 0–0 | D |
Platense
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Gimnasia M. | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Lanus | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 11/10 | Argentinos JRS | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 06/10 | Velez Sarsfield | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 02/10 | Estudiantes L.P. | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Newells Old Boys | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 16/09 | Fluminense | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Estudiantes L.P. | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 09/09 | Fluminense | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 05/09 | Deportivo Riestra | Home | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo #7 · 22 pts · Platense #12 · 16 pts
San Lorenzo
Platense
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
San Lorenzo
Platense
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Liga Profesional predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws