Predictions β†’ Brazil Serie A

Remo vs Botafogo

Next match: Thu, 29 Oct 2026 β€’ 00:30 UTC+3 β€’ Round 33 β€’ Estadio Evandro Almeida β€’ β˜€οΈ 27.1Β°C, 9 km/h clear

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Draw 74% 28.7% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X 69% 68.4% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS Yes 79% 46.3% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 84% 55% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 1-1 71% 12.2% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Corners O/U 9.5 (~12.4 exp.) Over 9.5 67% 57.6% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Remo 1.09 – 0.92 Botafogo Β· expected total 2.01

🧠 Match Preview

Remo host Botafogo at Estadio Evandro Almeida on Thursday with very different concerns at opposite ends of the Serie A table. The home side sit 19th on 25 points from 30 games, while Botafogo are 11th on 39 points from 31 β€” a gap that frames this as a relegation-haunted side scrapping for survival against a mid-table visitor with little left to play for.

The model sees a low-scoring, cagey contest. Remo's recent form reads DDLLL and their recent expected goals sit at just 0.8, with Botafogo's at 0.9; the match expected goals are 1.0874 for Remo and 0.9172 for Botafogo. Both squads are heavily depleted by injuries, which reinforces the cautious read. The head-to-head offers little comfort for the hosts: Remo won 1-2 away in May 2026, but Botafogo won 0-1 at this venue in 2021 and thrashed them 3-0 in the reverse fixture that year.

The headline tip is the draw at 28.7 percent with confidence 74, and the double chance 1X at 68.4 percent is the safer expression of the same idea. Under 2.5 goals carries 55.1 percent, while both teams to score No sits at 49.7 percent. The correct-score model leans 0-0 at 12.2 percent, with 1-1 close behind in the top scores. Corners offer a separate angle: over 9.5 is tipped at 57.6 percent with an expected 12.4.

The honest caveat is that a 28.7 percent draw is a thin edge, and with no bookmaker odds quoted in the snapshot there is no confirmed value to point to β€” treat the draw as a model lean, not a standout bet, and check the price before committing.

Updated 19 Oct 2026, 04:10 UTC+3 β€” refreshed when the underlying data changes.

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Remo

Form (last 5)
DVasco DA Gama (A) 0–0 Β· 10/10/2026DGremio (H) 1–1 Β· 07/10/2026LSantos (H) 1–2 Β· 19/09/2026LBahia (A) 1–2 Β· 14/09/2026LFlamengo (H) 0–1 Β· 06/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.60
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.65
xG against (recent avg)1.46
Elo strength rating1333
Players out30

Botafogo

Form (last 5)
WChapecoense-sc (H) 1–0 Β· 17/10/2026DCoritiba (A) 1–1 Β· 12/10/2026LVasco DA Gama (H) 1–2 Β· 07/10/2026LMirassol (A) 0–2 Β· 19/09/2026WGremio (H) 3–2 Β· 16/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)2
xG for (recent avg)0.73
xG against (recent avg)0.93
Elo strength rating1540
Players out29
RemoBotafogo
Goals scored (season avg)
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.60
1.50
Win streak (best this season)
1
2
xG for (recent avg)
0.65
0.73
xG against (recent avg)
1.46
0.93
Elo strength rating
1333
1540
Players out
30
29

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Remo

Winless 10
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Botafogo

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Remo at home Β· Botafogo away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Remo (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–6D–6L
W 3
D 6
L 6
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3

Botafogo (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–8L
W 4
D 3
L 8
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Remo (home)Botafogo (away)
W 3
D 6
L 6
W 4
D 3
L 8
Played
15
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.70
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
3
4

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–1
12.2%
0–0
12.2%
2–2
2.8%
3–3
0.3%
4–4
0%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Botafogo 2 wins Β· 0 draws Β· Remo 1 win Β· avg 2.3 goals Β· BTTS in 1 of 3

2
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
02 May 2026 Botafogo 1–2 Remo Serie A
04 Sep 2021 Remo 0–1 Botafogo Serie B
13 Jun 2021 Botafogo 3–0 Remo Serie B

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Remo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Vasco DA Gama Away 0–0 D
07/10 Gremio Home 1–1 D
19/09 Santos Home 1–2 L
14/09 Bahia Away 1–2 L
06/09 Flamengo Home 0–1 L

Botafogo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Chapecoense-sc Home 1–0 W
12/10 Coritiba Away 1–1 D
07/10 Vasco DA Gama Home 1–2 L
19/09 Mirassol Away 0–2 L
16/09 Gremio Home 3–2 W

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” Serie A

Remo #19 Β· 25 pts β€”  Botafogo #11 Β· 39 pts

Remo

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–10D–15L
W 5
D 10
L 15
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets4
Failed to score10
Yellow cards62
Red cards5
xG for (avg)0.65
xG against (avg)1.46
Corners for (avg)6.60
Penalties (scored/missed)1/2

Botafogo

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–9D–12L
W 10
D 9
L 12
Played31
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets5
Failed to score7
Yellow cards81
Red cards3
xG for (avg)0.73
xG against (avg)0.93
Corners for (avg)5.60
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
RemoBotafogo
W 5
D 10
L 15
W 10
D 9
L 12
Played
30
31
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.60
1.50
Clean sheets
4
5
Failed to score
10
7
Yellow cards
62
81
Red cards
5
3
xG for (avg)
0.65
0.73
xG against (avg)
1.46
0.93
Corners for (avg)
6.60
5.60
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/2
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Remo

3
0-15
5
9
16-30
3
8
31-45
5
10
46-60
8
4
61-75
4
12
76-90
10
scored conceded

Botafogo

9
0-15
8
6
16-30
5
2
31-45
8
15
46-60
8
3
61-75
5
10
76-90
13
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

πŸ₯ Injuries & Suspensions

Remo

  • ❌ Diego Hernandez β€” Red Card
  • ❌ M. N. Ferreira Berrondo β€” Red Card
  • ❌ Savio β€” Injury
  • ❌ Eduardo Melo β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Freitas β€” Loan agreement
  • ❌ Kayky Almeida β€” Loan agreement
  • ❌ Patrick de Paula β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Joao Lucas β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ P. Tachtsidis β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Thalisson β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Vitor Bueno β€” Calf Injury
  • ❌ B. Cufre β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Ze Ricardo β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Ze Welison β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Yago Pikachu β€” Red Card
  • ❌ David Braga β€” Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Gabriel Taliari β€” Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Jaja β€” Red Card
  • ❌ Marcelo Rangel β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Marllon β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ D. Tchamba β€” Injury
  • ❌ Marcelinho β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Ze Ivaldo β€” Suspended
  • ❌ Edson Fernando β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Mayk β€” Injury
  • ❌ Tico β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Matheus Felipe β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Patrick β€” Loan agreement
  • ❌ Gabriel Poveda β€” Red Card
  • ❌ A. Galeano β€” Yellow Cards

Botafogo

  • ❌ J. Correa β€” Inactive
  • ❌ C. Ramos β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Marcal β€” Knee Injury
  • ❌ Bastos β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Kaio Pantaleao β€” Inactive
  • ❌ M. Ponte β€” Inactive
  • ❌ S. Rodriguez β€” Injury
  • ❌ Allan β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ A. Barboza β€” Red Card
  • ❌ C. Medina β€” Red Card
  • ❌ Newton β€” Shoulder Injury
  • ❌ Danilo β€” International duty
  • ❌ N. Ferraresi β€” International duty
  • ❌ Alex Telles β€” Injury
  • ❌ Nathan Fernandes β€” Injury
  • ❌ L. M. Villalba Jaume β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Junior Santos β€” Injury
  • ❌ Vitinho β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Matheus Martins β€” Injury
  • ❌ Arthur Cabral β€” Injury
  • ❌ A. Montoro β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Huguinho β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ J. Barrera β€” Injury
  • ❌ G. Justino β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Paulinho β€” Injury
  • ❌ Warleson β€” Injury
  • ❌ K. Barria β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Arthur Chaves β€” Inactive
  • ❌ L. Monzon β€” Inactive

More: Serie A predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws