Predictions β†’ Brazil Serie A

Cruzeiro vs Remo

Next match: Fri, 23 Oct 2026 β€’ 23:00 UTC+3 β€’ Round 32 β€’ EstΓ‘dio MineirΓ£o β€’ 🌦 22.8Β°C, 0 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 86% 63.2% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X 80% 84.2% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS No 82% 51% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 83% 52.9% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 1-0 76% 14.7% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.1 exp.) Over 9.5 64% 55.3% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Cruzeiro 1.53 – 0.58 Remo Β· expected total 2.11

🧠 Match Preview

Cruzeiro host Remo at the EstΓ‘dio MineirΓ£o in Round 32 of Serie A, and the stakes could hardly be more lopsided. The hosts sit 6th on 48 points from 30 games, while Remo are 19th with just 25 points from the same number of matches. The model gives Cruzeiro a 63.2 percent win probability at 86 confidence, with the double chance 1X priced at 84.2 percent.

Form backs the gap: Cruzeiro arrive on LWWLW, Remo on a grim DDLLL. The expected goals split is emphatic, 1.5272 for the home side against 0.5834 for the visitors, and Cruzeiro's recent xG of 1.94 underlines the attacking edge. Both squads are heavily depleted, with long injury lists on either side, so rotation is a real factor.

The tips point to a controlled home win. Under 2.5 goals carries 52.9 percent, BTTS No sits at 51 percent, and the correct score leans 1-0 at 14.7 percent, with 2-0 next at 14.14. Corners offer a separate angle: over 9.5 is rated 55.3 percent with an expected 11.1. Where value may hide is the home win if bookmakers price it above the model's 63.2 percent, or the 1-0 and 2-0 scorelines given Remo's blunt attack.

The honest caveat: Cruzeiro's own injury list is enormous, and a low-scoring, scrappy game could easily drift toward a draw or a narrow 1-0 either way, so stake with discipline.

Updated 16 Oct 2026, 04:11 UTC+3 β€” refreshed when the underlying data changes.

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Cruzeiro

Form (last 5)
LRB Bragantino (A) 2–4 Β· 13/10/2026WSao Paulo (H) 2–0 Β· 08/10/2026WVitoria (A) 3–1 Β· 20/09/2026LSantos (A) 1–2 Β· 13/09/2026WAtletico Paranaense (H) 3–1 Β· 06/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)4
xG for (recent avg)1.07
xG against (recent avg)1.12
Elo strength rating1632
Players out27

Remo

Form (last 5)
DVasco DA Gama (A) 0–0 Β· 10/10/2026DGremio (H) 1–1 Β· 07/10/2026LSantos (H) 1–2 Β· 19/09/2026LBahia (A) 1–2 Β· 14/09/2026LFlamengo (H) 0–1 Β· 06/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.60
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.94
xG against (recent avg)1.39
Elo strength rating1327
Players out30
CruzeiroRemo
Goals scored (season avg)
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
1.60
Win streak (best this season)
4
1
xG for (recent avg)
1.07
0.94
xG against (recent avg)
1.12
1.39
Elo strength rating
1632
1327
Players out
27
30

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Cruzeiro

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Remo

Winless 10
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” Serie A

Cruzeiro

2nd best BTTS rate (83%) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%)

Remo

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Cruzeiro at home Β· Remo away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Cruzeiro (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–4D–3L
W 8
D 4
L 3
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2

Remo (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–4D–9L
W 2
D 4
L 9
Played15
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets2
Failed to score7
Cruzeiro (home)Remo (away)
W 8
D 4
L 3
W 2
D 4
L 9
Played
15
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.90
Clean sheets
4
2
Failed to score
2
7

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–0
14.7%
2–0
11.9%
2–1
7%
3–0
6.1%
3–1
3.5%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Cruzeiro 2 wins Β· 0 draws Β· Remo 3 wins Β· avg 2 goals Β· BTTS in 2 of 5

2
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
25 Apr 2026 Remo 0–1 Cruzeiro Serie A
12 May 2022 Cruzeiro 1–0 Remo Copa Do Brasil
20 Apr 2022 Remo 2–1 Cruzeiro Copa Do Brasil
29 Oct 2021 Cruzeiro 1–3 Remo Serie B
20 Jul 2021 Remo 1–0 Cruzeiro Serie B

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Cruzeiro

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
13/10 RB Bragantino Away 2–4 L
08/10 Sao Paulo Home 2–0 W
20/09 Vitoria Away 3–1 W
13/09 Santos Away 1–2 L
06/09 Atletico Paranaense Home 3–1 W

Remo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Vasco DA Gama Away 0–0 D
07/10 Gremio Home 1–1 D
19/09 Santos Home 1–2 L
14/09 Bahia Away 1–2 L
06/09 Flamengo Home 0–1 L

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” Serie A

Cruzeiro #6 Β· 48 pts β€”  Remo #19 Β· 25 pts

Cruzeiro

Wins–Draws–Losses14W–6D–10L
W 14
D 6
L 10
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets6
Failed to score4
Yellow cards74
Red cards3
xG for (avg)1.07
xG against (avg)1.12
Corners for (avg)3.20
Penalties (scored/missed)4/1

Remo

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–10D–15L
W 5
D 10
L 15
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets4
Failed to score10
Yellow cards62
Red cards5
xG for (avg)0.94
xG against (avg)1.39
Corners for (avg)5.90
Penalties (scored/missed)1/2
CruzeiroRemo
W 14
D 6
L 10
W 5
D 10
L 15
Played
30
30
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.60
Clean sheets
6
4
Failed to score
4
10
Yellow cards
74
62
Red cards
3
5
xG for (avg)
1.07
0.94
xG against (avg)
1.12
1.39
Corners for (avg)
3.20
5.90
Penalties (scored/missed)
4/1
1/2

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Cruzeiro

7
0-15
5
7
16-30
6
7
31-45
9
8
46-60
7
2
61-75
8
11
76-90
13
scored conceded

Remo

3
0-15
5
9
16-30
3
8
31-45
5
10
46-60
8
4
61-75
4
12
76-90
10
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

πŸ₯ Injuries & Suspensions

Cruzeiro

  • ❌ Marquinhos β€” Knee Injury
  • ❌ Matheus Cunha β€” Inactive
  • ❌ L. Sinisterra β€” Injury
  • ❌ Chico β€” Injury
  • ❌ Jonathan Jesus β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Kaua Moraes β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Bruno Rodrigues β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Kaio Jorge β€” Inactive
  • ❌ L. Romero β€” Inactive
  • ❌ William Furtado β€” Red Card
  • ❌ Cassio β€” Injury
  • ❌ Gerson β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Joao Marcelo β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Matheus Pereira β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Fabricio Bruno β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Fagner β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Lucas Silva β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ N. Villarreal β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Kaua Prates β€” Inactive
  • ❌ K. Arroyo β€” Red Card
  • ❌ Kaiki β€” Red Card
  • ❌ Matheus Henrique β€” Health problems
  • ❌ Gabriel Pec β€” Broken Leg
  • ❌ Wanderson β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Kenji β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Leo Aragao β€” Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Felipe Morais β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❓ L. Villalba (doubtful) β€” Ankle Injury

Remo

  • ❌ Diego Hernandez β€” Red Card
  • ❌ M. N. Ferreira Berrondo β€” Red Card
  • ❌ Savio β€” Injury
  • ❌ Eduardo Melo β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Freitas β€” Loan agreement
  • ❌ Kayky Almeida β€” Loan agreement
  • ❌ Patrick de Paula β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Joao Lucas β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ P. Tachtsidis β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Thalisson β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Vitor Bueno β€” Calf Injury
  • ❌ B. Cufre β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Ze Ricardo β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Ze Welison β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Yago Pikachu β€” Red Card
  • ❌ David Braga β€” Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Gabriel Taliari β€” Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Jaja β€” Red Card
  • ❌ Marcelo Rangel β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Marllon β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ D. Tchamba β€” Injury
  • ❌ Marcelinho β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Ze Ivaldo β€” Suspended
  • ❌ Edson Fernando β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Mayk β€” Injury
  • ❌ Tico β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Matheus Felipe β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Patrick β€” Loan agreement
  • ❌ Gabriel Poveda β€” Red Card
  • ❌ A. Galeano β€” Yellow Cards

More: Serie A predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws