Predictions → Colombia Primera A

America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 04:15 UTC+3 • Clausura - 18 • 🌦 21.9°C, 0 km/h, 0.4mm drizzle

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available48.6% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available78% —
BTTS No Current price not available54.1% · Yes 45.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available59.2% · Over 40.8% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available12.9% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.5 exp.) Under 9.5 Current price not available57.5% · Over 42.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

America de Cali · Home

America de Cali have scored in all five recent matches, including a 4-0 away win at Barranquilla and home wins of 2-1 and 3-1. Their recent xG for is 0.82 across up to five matches with recorded statistics, while model expected goals for this fixture is 1.43.

Deportivo Cali · Away

Deportivo Cali are unbeaten in five but have failed to score twice, with 0-0 draws against Junior and Deportivo Pereira. Their recent xG for is 0.98, and model expected goals for this fixture is 0.88.

Cali's Low-Scoring Away Pattern

The latest H2H was a 1-0 Deportivo Cali home win on 25 Apr 2026, but the two prior meetings produced a 0-2 America de Cali away win and a 0-0 draw. Cali's recent run includes four clean sheets but also two matches in which they failed to score, and their model expected goals of 0.88 sits below America's 1.43. The Under 2.5 and No BTTS contract picks fit a tight, low-scoring contest. The evidence supports America de Cali win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: America de Cali 1.43 – 0.88 Deportivo Cali · expected total 2.32

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

America de Cali

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)0.90
Best league winning streak this season5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.82
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.03
Elo strength rating1585

Deportivo Cali

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)0.70
Best league winning streak this season5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.98
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.63
Elo strength rating1539
America de CaliDeportivo Cali
Goals scored (season avg)
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.90
0.70
Best league winning streak this season
5
5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.82
0.98
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.03
0.63
Elo strength rating
1585
1539

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

America de Cali

Won 3 in a row Unbeaten 4
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Deportivo Cali

Unbeaten 10
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
4/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Primera A

America de Cali

3rd best attack (1.50 goals/game, season) 3rd best defence (0.90 conceded/game, season) Best BTTS rate (83%, last 6) Best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6) Best clean sheets (16, season)

Deportivo Cali

Best defence (0.70 conceded/game, season) 2nd best clean sheets (15, season)

Rank among 20 Primera A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

America de Cali at home · Deportivo Cali away, the split that matters for this fixture.

America de Cali (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses13W–4D–2L
W 13
D 4
L 2
Played19
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets10
Failed to score2

Deportivo Cali (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–5D–7L
W 6
D 5
L 7
Played18
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets6
Failed to score6
America de Cali (home)Deportivo Cali (away)
W 13
D 4
L 2
W 6
D 5
L 7
Played
19
18
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
0.60
0.90
Clean sheets
10
6
Failed to score
2
6

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
12.9%
2–0
10.13%
2–1
8.95%
3–0
4.84%
3–1
4.27%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

America de Cali 3 wins · 5 draws · Deportivo Cali 2 wins · avg 1.2 goals · BTTS in 2 of 10

3
5
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
26 Apr 2026 Deportivo Cali 1–0 America de Cali Primera A
19 Oct 2025 Deportivo Cali 0–2 America de Cali Primera A
08 Sep 2025 America de Cali 0–0 Deportivo Cali Primera A
28 Apr 2025 America de Cali 2–0 Deportivo Cali Primera A
25 Mar 2025 Deportivo Cali 1–1 America de Cali Primera A
04 Nov 2024 America de Cali 0–1 Deportivo Cali Primera A
24 Oct 2024 Deportivo Cali 0–0 America de Cali Copa Colombia
18 Oct 2024 America de Cali 2–0 Deportivo Cali Copa Colombia
13 Apr 2024 Deportivo Cali 1–1 America de Cali Primera A
16 Oct 2023 Deportivo Cali 0–0 America de Cali Primera A

📈 Recent Form

America de Cali

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30/10 Fortaleza FC Home 2–1 W
25/10 Cucuta Home 3–1 W
22/10 Barranquilla Away 4–0 W
19/10 Bucaramanga Away 1–1 D
12/10 Independiente Medellin Home 1–2 L
05/10 Llaneros Away 2–1 W
24/09 Águilas Doradas Home 1–0 W
21/09 Deportes Tolima Away 1–1 D
15/09 Deportivo Pasto Home 0–1 L
10/09 Deportivo Pereira Home 4–1 W

Deportivo Cali

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02/11 Chico Home 2–0 W
25/10 Fortaleza FC Away 1–1 D
22/10 Llaneros Away 3–0 W
19/10 Junior Home 0–0 D
10/10 Deportivo Pereira Away 0–0 D
03/10 Alianza Valledupar Home 3–1 W
28/09 Águilas Doradas Home 2–0 W
23/09 Santa Fe Away 1–0 W
20/09 Cucuta Home 3–0 W
14/09 Once Caldas Away 2–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: Primera A

America de Cali #4 · 33 pts ·  Deportivo Cali #9 · 27 pts

America de Cali

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–3D–6L
W 10
D 3
L 6
Played19
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets16
Failed to score7
Yellow cards108
Red cards10
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.82
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.03
Corners for (avg)4.30
Penalties (scored/missed)9/0

Deportivo Cali

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–6D–6L
W 7
D 6
L 6
Played19
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets15
Failed to score9
Yellow cards97
Red cards7
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.98
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.63
Corners for (avg)3.40
Penalties (scored/missed)5/2
America de CaliDeportivo Cali
W 10
D 3
L 6
W 7
D 6
L 6
Played
19
19
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
0.90
0.70
Clean sheets
16
15
Failed to score
7
9
Yellow cards
108
97
Red cards
10
7
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.82
0.98
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.03
0.63
Corners for (avg)
4.30
3.40
Penalties (scored/missed)
9/0
5/2

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

America de Cali

8
0-15
6
3
16-30
13
6
31-45
9
3
46-60
10
2
61-75
13
10
76-90
8
scored conceded

Deportivo Cali

1
0-15
6
1
16-30
4
6
31-45
8
5
46-60
8
8
61-75
11
4
76-90
8
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Primera A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws