Cucuta vs Santa Fe
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Thu, 05 Nov 2026 • 02:30 UTC+3 • Clausura - 17 • Estadio General Santander • 🌦 24.5°C, 3 km/h, 1.5mm showers
Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.75 (67.8%, Model EV +18.7%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw 3.32 → 3.34 ▲1% | Marathonbet3.34 | 27.2% | -9.2% |
| Double Chance | X2 | Betano1.42 | 67.1% | -4.7% |
| BTTS | Yes | William Hill1.75 | 67.3% · No 32.7% | +17.8% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Betfair1.87 | 46.2% · Over 53.8% | -13.6% |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Betano6.50 | 10.8% | -29.8% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.1 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Bet3651.67 | 53.4% · Over 46.6% | -10.8% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Cucuta · Home
Cucuta's recent run is defined by home dominance and one blank: they beat Deportivo Pereira 4-0 and Atletico Nacional 1-0 at home but failed to score in a 0-2 loss to Águilas Doradas. Their recent xG for of 0.67 sits well below the model expected goals of 1.7 for this fixture.
Santa Fe · Away
Santa Fe won three of five, including away wins at Llaneros' expense and Independiente Medellin 1-0, yet failed to score twice. Their latest H2H was a 5-0 win over Cucuta, though the two earlier meetings were far tighter.
H2H swing and tight margins
The latest H2H, a 5-0 Santa Fe win, contrasts sharply with the previous two meetings: Cucuta won 1-0 at home and lost 2-3. Both teams have failed to score in one of their last five, and Santa Fe's recent xG for of 1.21 against Cucuta's 0.67 suggests a low-margin contest rather than a repeat blowout. The model expected goals of 1.7 and 1.67 point to a balanced fixture, supporting a draw. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Cucuta 1.70 – 1.67 Santa Fe · expected total 3.37
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Cucuta
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Cucuta
Santa Fe
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Primera A
Cucuta
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Santa Fe
Rank among 20 Primera A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Cucuta at home · Santa Fe away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Cucuta (home)
Santa Fe (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Cucuta 2 wins · 0 draws · Santa Fe 2 wins · avg 3.5 goals · BTTS in 2 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | Santa Fe | 5–0 | Cucuta | Primera A |
| 03 Oct 2020 | Cucuta | 2–3 | Santa Fe | Primera A |
| 21 Jul 2019 | Cucuta | 1–0 | Santa Fe | Primera A |
| 31 Jan 2019 | Santa Fe | 1–2 | Cucuta | Primera A |
📈 Recent Form
Cucuta
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Águilas Doradas | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 25/10 | America de Cali | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 21/10 | Atletico Nacional | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 12/10 | Chico | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 05/10 | Deportivo Pereira | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Llaneros | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 20/09 | Deportivo Cali | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 14/09 | Millonarios | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 06/09 | Deportivo Pasto | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 01/09 | Deportes Tolima | Away | 1–2 | L |
Santa Fe
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Atletico Nacional | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 27/10 | Bucaramanga | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 22/10 | Jaguares | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/10 | Llaneros | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 06/10 | Independiente Medellin | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 29/09 | Deportivo Pereira | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Union Magdalena | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 23/09 | Deportivo Cali | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 20/09 | Alianza Valledupar | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 16/09 | Vasco DA Gama | Away | 0–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Primera A
Cucuta #19 · 16 pts · Santa Fe #7 · 29 pts
Cucuta
Santa Fe
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Cucuta
Santa Fe
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Primera A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws