Predictions → England Championship

Preston vs Sheffield Utd

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 14 • Deepdale Stadium • ☀️ 8.6°C, 12 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Away 2.36 → 2.18 ▼8% Betano2.1845.3% -1.2%
Double Chance 12 Bet3651.3074% -3.8%
BTTS Yes Bet3651.6757.2% · No 42.8% -4.5%
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Betano1.8253.3% · Under 46.7% -3%
Correct Score 1-2 Betano9.259.1% -15.8%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.8 exp.) Over 9.5 Pinnacle1.5752% · Under 48% -18.4%

🧠 Match Preview

Preston · Home

Preston have taken just one point from their last five matches, with a 1-1 home draw against West Brom their only positive result. They failed to score in three of those five games, including a 0-2 loss at Stoke City and a 0-1 home defeat to Millwall.

Sheffield Utd · Away

Sheffield Utd have won three of their last five, keeping three clean sheets, and they failed to score in none of them. Their away form includes a 1-0 win at Bristol City and a 2-3 loss at Portsmouth, while they beat Wrexham 1-0 at home.

H2H Goals Favour Away Side

The latest head-to-head, on 25 Apr 2026, finished 2-3 to Preston as the away side, and the prior meeting at Preston ended 3-2 to the home team. Both recent meetings produced five goals, and the model's correct score of 1-2 fits that open pattern. Preston's run of 2 goals for and 12 against across five matches contrasts with Sheffield Utd's 8 for and 4 against, and the visitors' three clean sheets support the edge. The evidence supports Sheffield Utd win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 22:46 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Preston 1.25 – 1.54 Sheffield Utd · expected total 2.79

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Preston

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)2.10
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.97
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.66
Elo strength rating1351
Players out9

Sheffield Utd

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.99
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.47
Elo strength rating1480
Players out7
PrestonSheffield Utd
Goals scored (season avg)
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.10
1.20
Best league winning streak this season
3
4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.97
0.99
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.66
1.47
Elo strength rating
1351
1480
Players out
9
7

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Preston

Winless 8
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Sheffield Utd

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Championship

Preston

Worst defence (2.10 conceded/game, season) 2nd worst clean sheets (0, season)

Sheffield Utd

2nd best clean sheets (5, season)

Rank among 24 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Preston at home · Sheffield Utd away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Preston (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–4L
W 1
D 1
L 4
Played6
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2

Sheffield Utd (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–2L
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Preston (home)Sheffield Utd (away)
W 1
D 1
L 4
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played
6
6
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
1.30
Clean sheets
0
2
Failed to score
2
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–2
9.13%
0–1
8.3%
0–2
7.32%
1–3
4.7%
0–3
3.77%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Preston 2 wins · 3 draws · Sheffield Utd 5 wins · avg 3.3 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10

2
3
5
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
25 Apr 2026 Sheffield Utd 2–3 Preston Championship
24 Oct 2025 Preston 3–2 Sheffield Utd Championship
08 Mar 2025 Sheffield Utd 1–0 Preston Championship
09 Aug 2024 Preston 0–2 Sheffield Utd Championship
29 Apr 2023 Sheffield Utd 4–1 Preston Championship
17 Sep 2022 Preston 0–2 Sheffield Utd Championship
18 Jan 2022 Preston 2–2 Sheffield Utd Championship
14 Sep 2021 Sheffield Utd 2–2 Preston Championship
04 Sep 2020 Sheffield Utd 2–2 Preston Friendlies Clubs
06 Apr 2019 Preston 0–1 Sheffield Utd Championship

📈 Recent Form

Preston

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Stoke City Away 0–2 L
24/10 West Brom Home 1–1 D
17/10 Wrexham Away 1–4 L
13/10 Birmingham Away 0–4 L
10/10 Millwall Home 0–1 L
19/09 QPR Away 2–2 D
12/09 Lincoln Home 0–1 L
08/09 Watford Away 1–2 L
05/09 Blackburn Home 2–1 W
01/09 Bristol City Home 1–3 L

Sheffield Utd

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30/10 Wrexham Home 1–0 W
24/10 Derby Home 1–1 D
17/10 Bristol City Away 1–0 W
14/10 Portsmouth Away 2–3 L
10/10 Lincoln Home 3–0 W
19/09 Stoke City Away 1–2 L
16/09 Fleetwood Town Away 0–1 L
13/09 Wolves Home 0–1 L
08/09 Blackburn Away 2–1 W
05/09 Norwich Home 1–3 L

📊 Season Comparison: Championship

Preston #24 · 5 pts ·  Sheffield Utd #10 · 19 pts

Preston

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–10L
W 1
D 2
L 10
Played13
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets0
Failed to score5
Yellow cards30
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.97
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.66
Corners for (avg)5.30
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Sheffield Utd

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–4D–4L
W 5
D 4
L 4
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets5
Failed to score3
Yellow cards25
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.99
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.47
Corners for (avg)3.20
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
PrestonSheffield Utd
W 1
D 2
L 10
W 5
D 4
L 4
Played
13
13
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
2.10
1.20
Clean sheets
0
5
Failed to score
5
3
Yellow cards
30
25
Red cards
1
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.97
0.99
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.66
1.47
Corners for (avg)
5.30
3.20
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Preston

3
0-15
3
2
16-30
2
5
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
4
61-75
9
76-90
3
scored conceded

Sheffield Utd

3
0-15
4
1
16-30
2
4
31-45
3
1
46-60
3
2
61-75
2
4
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Preston

  • ❌ T. Carroll: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ L. Gibson: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ B. Potts: Injury
  • ❌ A. McCann: Injury
  • ❌ H. Clarke: Knee Injury
  • ❌ L. Gibbs: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ S. Mills: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ C. Wiley: Injury
  • ❌ L. Lindsay: Injury

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): A. Hughes, J. Kenny; not counted as confirmed absences.

Sheffield Utd

  • ❌ K. Phillips: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ J. Shackleton: Foot Injury
  • ❌ T. Chong: Injury
  • ❌ R. One: Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ M. Doherty: Injury
  • ❌ H. Choudhury: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ L. Kitching: Suspended (Yellow Cards)

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): H. Burrows, F. Seriki, P. Bamford; not counted as confirmed absences.

More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws

Referee: John Busby