Preston vs Southampton
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • Deepdale • ☁️ 9.1°C, 7 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Current price not available | 49.9% | — |
| Double Chance | X2 | Current price not available | 75.8% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 57.7% · No 42.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 55.3% · Under 44.7% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Current price not available | 9.7% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.9 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 54.7% · Over 45.3% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Preston · Home
Preston have taken only one point from their last five matches, a 1-1 home draw with West Brom, and failed to score in three of those five. Their most recent meeting with Southampton at this venue ended 1-3.
Southampton · Away
Southampton are unbeaten in five, winning four, with nine goals scored and three clean sheets. They also won the latest head-to-head 3-1 at Preston on 2 May 2026.
Southampton's Edge Over Preston
Southampton's recent run contrasts sharply with Preston's: four wins and a draw from five, versus one draw and four defeats. The latest head-to-head at Preston finished 1-3 to Southampton, and the visitors' recent scoring of nine goals across five matches supports a realistic away win. Preston have managed just two goals in their last five and failed to score in three of them, which makes the published away pick plausible. The evidence supports Southampton win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Preston 1.16 – 1.74 Southampton · expected total 2.90
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Preston
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Preston
Southampton
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Championship
Preston
Southampton
Rank among 24 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Preston at home · Southampton away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Preston (home)
Southampton (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Preston 1 win · 1 draw · Southampton 3 wins · avg 3.2 goals · BTTS in 3 of 5
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May 2026 | Preston | 1–3 | Southampton | Championship |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Southampton | 0–2 | Preston | Championship |
| 16 Apr 2024 | Southampton | 3–0 | Preston | Championship |
| 25 Oct 2023 | Preston | 2–2 | Southampton | Championship |
| 21 Sep 2011 | Southampton | 2–1 | Preston | League Cup |
📈 Recent Form
Preston
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Stoke City | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 24/10 | West Brom | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Wrexham | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 13/10 | Birmingham | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 10/10 | Millwall | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 19/09 | QPR | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 12/09 | Lincoln | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 08/09 | Watford | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 05/09 | Blackburn | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 01/09 | Bristol City | Home | 1–3 | L |
Southampton
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | QPR | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 24/10 | West Ham | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 17/10 | Bolton | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 14/10 | Norwich | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 11/10 | Portsmouth | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Wrexham | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Bristol City | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 08/09 | Swansea | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 05/09 | Lincoln | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 01/09 | Birmingham | Away | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Championship
Preston #24 · 5 pts · Southampton #5 · 23 pts
Preston
Southampton
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Preston
Southampton
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Preston
- ❌ T. Carroll: Ankle Injury
- ❌ L. Gibson: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ B. Potts: Injury
- ❌ A. McCann: Injury
- ❌ H. Clarke: Knee Injury
- ❌ L. Gibbs: Muscle Injury
- ❌ S. Mills: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ C. Wiley: Injury
- ❌ L. Lindsay: Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): A. Hughes, J. Kenny; not counted as confirmed absences.
Southampton
- ❌ T. Harwood-Bellis: Injury
- ❌ C. Bragg: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ F. Downes: Ankle Injury
- ❌ C. Larin: Hamstring Injury
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): C. Jander (Lacking Match Fitness).
More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws