Ashton United vs Workington
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round of 128 • ☁️ 6.6°C, 18 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 42.6% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 76.2% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 70.1% · No 29.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 69.3% · Under 30.7% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 8.5% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Ashton United 42.6% · Draw 23.7% · Workington 33.7%. Selected outcome: Ashton United win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Ashton United 1.90, Workington 1.68, expected total 3.59.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
Ashton United: L-W-L-L-D in their last five matches.
Workington: W-W-W-L-L in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Ashton United 2–1 Workington, 11 Apr 2026.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Ashton United
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Ashton United
Workington
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: FA Trophy
Ashton United
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Workington
Rank among 43 FA Trophy teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Ashton United at home · Workington away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Ashton United (home)
Workington (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Ashton United 2 wins · 2 draws · Workington 2 wins · avg 3.8 goals · BTTS in 4 of 6
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2026 | Ashton United | 2–1 | Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Workington | 1–1 | Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Workington | 5–1 | Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Ashton United | 3–0 | Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Ashton United | 2–2 | Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 12 Aug 2023 | Workington | 5–0 | Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
📈 Recent Form
Ashton United
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Rylands | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Redcar Athletic | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 21/10 | Avro | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 17/10 | Redcar Athletic | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 13/10 | Alfreton Town | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 10/10 | Leek Town | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 06/10 | Quorn | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 19/09 | Buxton | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | Cleethorpes Town | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 05/09 | Whitby Town | Away | 5–2 | W |
Workington
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bury | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 27/10 | Cleethorpes Town | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 17/10 | Bamber Bridge | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 13/10 | Whitby Town | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Quorn | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 06/10 | Warrington Town | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 03/10 | Cleethorpes Town | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 29/09 | AFC Emley | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Blyth Spartans | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 19/09 | Bury | Away | 1–5 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: FA Trophy
Ashton United
Workington
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Ashton United
Workington
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: FA Trophy predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws