Arsenal W vs London City Lionesses W
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 20:30 UTC+3 • Round 10 • Emirates Stadium • ☁️ 6.8°C, 14 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 46.5% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 78.7% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 77.4% · No 22.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 79.1% · Under 20.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 7.6% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.7 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 58.5% · Under 41.5% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Arsenal W · Home
Arsenal W have scored in every one of their last five matches, including 2-2 at Paris FC W and 2-1 at Tottenham Hotspur W, though they won only once in that run (1-1, 1-1). Their latest H2H meetings with London City Lionesses W produced 4-1 and 2-0 Arsenal wins.
London City Lionesses W · Away
London City Lionesses W won three of their last five, scoring 11 goals, and their only defeat was 1-2 at home to Manchester City W (1-2). They also drew 2-2 at Liverpool W and beat West Ham W 2-1 away.
H2H edge meets away scoring
The clearest angle is the H2H: Arsenal W won the latest meeting 2-0 away (0-2) and earlier beat London City Lionesses W 4-1 and 2-0 at home. London City Lionesses W have scored in all five recent matches, so a home clean sheet is not the obvious route. Arsenal W's recent 2.79 weighted xG over up to five matches with recorded statistics supports their attacking output, while the model expected goals of 2.31 for this fixture is a separate forecast. A 2-1 home scoreline fits both the H2H record and the visitors' scoring run. The evidence supports Arsenal W win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Arsenal W 2.31 – 1.92 London City Lionesses W · expected total 4.23
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Arsenal W
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Arsenal W
London City Lionesses W
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: FA WSL
Arsenal W
London City Lionesses W
Rank among 14 FA WSL teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Arsenal W at home · London City Lionesses W away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Arsenal W (home)
London City Lionesses W (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Arsenal W 6 wins · 0 draws · London City Lionesses W 0 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 1 of 6
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | London City Lionesses W | 0–2 | Arsenal W | FA WSL |
| 06 Sep 2025 | Arsenal W | 4–1 | London City Lionesses W | FA WSL |
| 09 Feb 2025 | Arsenal W | 2–0 | London City Lionesses W | FA Women's Cup |
| 14 Feb 2024 | London City Lionesses W | 0–4 | Arsenal W | WSL Cup |
| 30 Jan 2022 | Arsenal W | 1–0 | London City Lionesses W | FA Women's Cup |
| 04 Nov 2020 | London City Lionesses W | 0–4 | Arsenal W | WSL Cup |
📈 Recent Form
Arsenal W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Aston Villa W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 24/10 | Tottenham Hotspur W | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Birmingham City W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 04/10 | Manchester City W | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 30/09 | Paris FC W | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 27/09 | Chelsea W | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 22/09 | Køge W | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Manchester United W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 13/09 | Crystal Palace W | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 06/09 | Brighton W | Away | 1–0 | W |
London City Lionesses W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Manchester City W | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 28/10 | Crystal Palace W | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 25/10 | Liverpool W | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 21/10 | West Ham W | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 18/10 | Everton W | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 04/10 | Tottenham Hotspur W | Away | 6–1 | W |
| 30/09 | Ipswich Town W | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Brighton W | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 23/09 | Leicester City FC W | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Charlton Athletic W | Away | 4–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: FA WSL
Arsenal W #7 · 10 pts · London City Lionesses W #3 · 16 pts
Arsenal W
London City Lionesses W
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Arsenal W
London City Lionesses W
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: FA WSL predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws