Chelsea W vs Manchester City W
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 17:00 UTC+3 • Round 10 • Stamford Bridge • ☁️ 7.6°C, 13 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 54.2% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 80.6% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 79.8% · No 20.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 83.6% · Under 16.4% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 7.1% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.3 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 55.8% · Under 44.2% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Chelsea W · Home
Chelsea W arrive with five wins from five, scoring 20 and conceding 3, including a 6-0 away result at Charlton Athletic W and a 6-2 home win over Tottenham Hotspur W. Their recent xG for over up to five recorded matches is 2.3, while the model expected goals for this fixture is 2.72.
Manchester City W · Away
Manchester City W are unbeaten in five but drew two, and they have no clean sheet in that run, conceding 7 across 11 scored. Their latest head-to-head was a 5-1 win at home over Chelsea W, though they lost the preceding meeting 0-1 and went down 2-1 at Chelsea W.
Chelsea edge a high-scoring rematch
The latest head-to-head, a 5-1 Manchester City W home win, shows this matchup can swing sharply, yet Chelsea W won 2-1 at home in the prior meeting and have scored 20 in five. Manchester City W have drawn two of five and kept no clean sheet, while Chelsea W have three. With both teams scoring in each recent run, a 2-1 correct score fits the published contract. The evidence supports Chelsea W win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Chelsea W 2.72 – 1.90 Manchester City W · expected total 4.63
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Chelsea W
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Chelsea W
Manchester City W
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: FA WSL
Chelsea W
Manchester City W
Rank among 14 FA WSL teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Chelsea W at home · Manchester City W away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Chelsea W (home)
Manchester City W (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Chelsea W 7 wins · 0 draws · Manchester City W 2 wins · avg 2.7 goals · BTTS in 4 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb 2026 | Manchester City W | 5–1 | Chelsea W | FA WSL |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Manchester City W | 0–1 | Chelsea W | WSL Cup |
| 05 Sep 2025 | Chelsea W | 2–1 | Manchester City W | FA WSL |
| 27 Mar 2025 | Chelsea W | 3–0 | Manchester City W | UEFA Champions League Women |
| 23 Mar 2025 | Manchester City W | 1–2 | Chelsea W | FA WSL |
| 19 Mar 2025 | Manchester City W | 2–0 | Chelsea W | UEFA Champions League Women |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Chelsea W | 2–1 | Manchester City W | WSL Cup |
| 16 Nov 2024 | Chelsea W | 2–0 | Manchester City W | FA WSL |
| 07 Mar 2024 | Manchester City W | 0–1 | Chelsea W | WSL Cup |
📈 Recent Form
Chelsea W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Charlton Athletic W | Away | 6–0 | W |
| 28/10 | Roma W | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Crystal Palace W | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 18/10 | Tottenham Hotspur W | Home | 6–2 | W |
| 04/10 | West Ham W | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 30/09 | Lyon W | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 27/09 | Arsenal W | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 23/09 | Austria Wien W | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Birmingham City W | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 13/09 | Manchester United W | Away | 5–0 | W |
Manchester City W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | London City Lionesses W | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 25/10 | Manchester United W | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Brighton W | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 04/10 | Arsenal W | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 01/10 | Real Madrid W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 26/09 | Charlton Athletic W | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 22/09 | Bayern Munich W | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 18/09 | Liverpool W | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 13/09 | Aston Villa W | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 06/09 | Birmingham City W | Home | 3–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: FA WSL
Chelsea W #1 · 22 pts · Manchester City W #2 · 22 pts
Chelsea W
Manchester City W
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Chelsea W
Manchester City W
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: FA WSL predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws