Rotherham vs Crawley Town
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • Aesseal New York Stadium • ☁️ 6.8°C, 8 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 28.1% | — |
| Double Chance | X2 | Current price not available | 64.4% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 56.6% · No 43.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 48.8% · Over 51.2% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Current price not available | 13.4% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.7 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 56.1% · Over 43.9% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Rotherham · Home
Rotherham are without a win in five, drawing 3-3 with Shrewsbury and 2-2 with Newport County at home. Their recent xG for of 1.01 sits below a model expected goals figure of 1.36 for this fixture.
Crawley Town · Away
Crawley Town have scored in all five recent matches, including a 1-0 win at Oldham and a 2-2 home draw with Chesterfield. Their recent xG for of 1.73 is the stronger attacking baseline in this matchup.
Draw Fits Rotherham's Stalemate Run
Rotherham's last five include two home draws, and the latest head-to-head at this venue ended 0-4 to Crawley Town. Crawley have drawn two of five and scored in every one, while Rotherham failed to score once. The 1-1 correct score carries 13.4% and the draw 28.1%, so a share of the points is realistic rather than a home or away lean. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Rotherham 1.36 – 1.37 Crawley Town · expected total 2.73
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Rotherham
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Rotherham
Crawley Town
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: League Two
Rotherham
Crawley Town
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 24 League Two teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Rotherham at home · Crawley Town away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Rotherham (home)
Crawley Town (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Crawley Town 4 wins · 1 draw · Rotherham 1 win · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 3 of 6
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2025 | Rotherham | 0–4 | Crawley Town | League One |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Crawley Town | 1–0 | Rotherham | League One |
| 25 Jan 2014 | Rotherham | 2–2 | Crawley Town | League One |
| 17 Aug 2013 | Crawley Town | 1–2 | Rotherham | League One |
| 24 Mar 2012 | Crawley Town | 3–0 | Rotherham | League Two |
| 26 Nov 2011 | Rotherham | 1–2 | Crawley Town | League Two |
📈 Recent Form
Rotherham
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Swindon Town | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Shrewsbury | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 20/10 | Newport County | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 17/10 | Fleetwood Town | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Gillingham | Home | 1–4 | L |
| 06/10 | Bradford | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 03/10 | Exeter City | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 26/09 | Crewe | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Northampton | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Salford City | Home | 3–3 | D |
Crawley Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Oldham | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Tranmere | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 20/10 | Shrewsbury | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 17/10 | Salford City | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Chesterfield | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 06/10 | Bromley | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 22/09 | Milton Keynes Dons | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 19/09 | Grimsby | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Cheltenham | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 05/09 | Accrington ST | Away | 2–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: League Two
Rotherham #22 · 12 pts · Crawley Town #24 · 9 pts
Rotherham
Crawley Town
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Rotherham
Crawley Town
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: League Two predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws