Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Wed, 11 Nov 2026 • 22:00 UTC+3 • Group Stage • St Helens Stadium • ☀️ 4.9°C, 5 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Current price not available | 42.9% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 76% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 69.1% · No 30.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 68.1% · Under 31.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Current price not available | 8.6% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.3 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 51.6% · Over 48.4% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Liverpool W 33.1% · Draw 24.0% · Aston Villa W 42.9%. Selected outcome: Aston Villa W win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Liverpool W 1.64, Aston Villa W 1.88, expected total 3.52.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
Liverpool W: D-L-L-L-W in their last five matches.
Aston Villa W: W-W-W-D-W in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Aston Villa W 2–1 Liverpool W, 18 Oct 2026.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Liverpool W
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Liverpool W
Aston Villa W
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: WSL Cup
Liverpool W
Aston Villa W
Rank among 23 WSL Cup teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Liverpool W at home · Aston Villa W away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Liverpool W (home)
Aston Villa W (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Aston Villa W 1 win · 0 draws · Liverpool W 0 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 1 of 1
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Aston Villa W | 2–1 | Liverpool W | FA WSL |
📈 Recent Form
Liverpool W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | West Ham W | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 25/10 | London City Lionesses W | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 21/10 | Manchester United W | Home | 3–5 | L |
| 18/10 | Aston Villa W | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 03/10 | Manchester United W | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 30/09 | Birmingham City W | Away | 4–3 | W |
| 27/09 | Everton W | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 23/09 | Sunderland W | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 18/09 | Manchester City W | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 13/09 | Tottenham Hotspur W | Home | 1–1 | D |
Aston Villa W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Arsenal W | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 28/10 | Birmingham City W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 25/10 | Everton W | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 21/10 | Burnley W | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Liverpool W | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 04/10 | Crystal Palace W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 30/09 | Newcastle United W | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 27/09 | Tottenham Hotspur W | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 23/09 | Nottingham Forest W | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Brighton W | Away | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: WSL Cup
Liverpool W
Aston Villa W
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Liverpool W
Aston Villa W
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: WSL Cup predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws