Nantes W vs Lens W
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 19:00 UTC+3 • Round 9 • Stade Marcel Saupin • ☁️ 10.3°C, 10 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 58.7% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 80.4% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 74.1% · No 25.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 78.5% · Under 21.5% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 8.3% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~7.5 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 66.4% · Over 33.6% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Nantes W · Home
Nantes W have won two of their last three, including a 3-2 home win over Strasbourg W and a 2-0 away win at Saint-Malo W. Their recent_xg_for of 0.25 sits well below their model_expected_goals of 2.62 for this fixture.
Lens W · Away
Lens W are without a win in five, drawing three and losing two, and they failed to score in the 0-0 at Le Havre W. Their recent_xg_for of 0.68 is modest, though they have scored in four of those five matches.
Nantes edge a high-scoring H2H
The latest H2H, on 31 Jan 2026, finished 2-2 between these sides, and the earlier meeting was a 3-4 Nantes W win, so both recent encounters produced goals for each team. Nantes W have scored in two of their last three, while Lens W have conceded 10 across five and scored in four of them. That fits a home win with both teams scoring rather than a clean sheet. The evidence supports Nantes W win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Nantes W 2.62 – 1.58 Lens W · expected total 4.20
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Nantes W
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Nantes W
Lens W
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Feminine Division 1
Nantes W
Lens W
Rank among 12 Feminine Division 1 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Nantes W at home · Lens W away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Nantes W (home)
Lens W (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Lens W 0 wins · 1 draw · Nantes W 1 win · avg 5.5 goals · BTTS in 2 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Nantes W | 2–2 | Lens W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Lens W | 3–4 | Nantes W | Feminine Division 1 |
📈 Recent Form
Nantes W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Marseille W | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 24/10 | Strasbourg W | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 17/10 | Saint-Malo W | Away | 2–0 | W |
Lens W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | FC Fleury 91 W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 24/10 | Le Havre W | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 17/10 | Strasbourg W | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 03/10 | Paris FC W | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 19/09 | Toulouse W | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 12/09 | Marseille W | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 05/09 | Paris Saint Germain W | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 06/05 | Paris FC W | Away | 2–6 | L |
| 25/04 | Marseille W | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 22/04 | Le Havre W | Away | 1–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Feminine Division 1
Nantes W #6 · 8 pts · Lens W #11 · 3 pts
Nantes W
Lens W
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Nantes W
Lens W
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Feminine Division 1 predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws