1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 15:00 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Max-Morlock-Stadion • ☁️ 6°C, 3 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 1.75 → 1.78 ▲2% | Betano1.78 | 56.2% | 0% |
| Double Chance | 12 | Betano1.22 | 78.3% | -4.5% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano1.50 | 60% · No 40% | -10% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Betano1.52 | 63% · Under 37% | -4.2% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | 1xBet8.10 | 9.9% | -19.8% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.8 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 59.3% · Under 40.7% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
1. FC Nürnberg · Home
1. FC Nürnberg have scored 10 goals across their last five matches, including a 3-1 win at FC St. Pauli and a 4-4 home draw with VfL Wolfsburg, though they failed to score in the 0-1 home loss to 1. FC Kaiserslautern. Their recent_xg_for of 1.66 sits below a model_expected_goals figure of 2.02 for this fixture.
SV Darmstadt 98 · Away
SV Darmstadt 98 have kept two clean sheets in five and scored only 6 goals, with the 0-4 loss at Karlsruher SC the clear low point. They did win 2-0 at SV Elversberg and 3-1 at home to Energie Cottbus, but their recent_xg_for of 1.40 trails a model_expected_goals of 1.14 here.
Nürnberg's Home H2H Edge
The latest H2H, on 23 Jan 2026, ended 2-0 to Darmstadt, yet the two prior meetings were both decided by a single goal, including Nürnberg's 1-0 home win. Nürnberg have scored in four of their last five, while Darmstadt failed to score twice in the same span. The 2-1 correct score and 60% BTTS Yes pick fit a matchup where both sides have recent scoring spells. That makes a Nürnberg home win a realistic outcome: 1. FC Nürnberg win. The evidence supports 1. FC Nürnberg win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: 1. FC Nürnberg 2.02 – 1.14 SV Darmstadt 98 · expected total 3.16
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
1. FC Nürnberg
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
1. FC Nürnberg
SV Darmstadt 98
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: 2. Bundesliga
1. FC Nürnberg
SV Darmstadt 98
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 18 2. Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
1. FC Nürnberg at home · SV Darmstadt 98 away, the split that matters for this fixture.
1. FC Nürnberg (home)
SV Darmstadt 98 (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
1. FC Nürnberg 3 wins · 1 draw · SV Darmstadt 98 6 wins · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2–0 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| 08 Aug 2025 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 0–1 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 31 Jan 2025 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 1–0 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 25 Aug 2024 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 1–1 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| 31 Mar 2023 | FC Nurnberg | 0–1 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 17 Sep 2022 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2–0 | FC Nurnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| 09 Apr 2022 | FC Nurnberg | 3–1 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 29 Oct 2021 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2–0 | FC Nurnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| 06 Feb 2021 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 1–2 | FC Nurnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| 05 Oct 2020 | FC Nurnberg | 2–3 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
📈 Recent Form
1. FC Nürnberg
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | FC St. Pauli | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 28/10 | Bayer Leverkusen | Away | 2–5 | L |
| 24/10 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 16/10 | Energie Cottbus | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 10/10 | VfL Wolfsburg | Home | 4–4 | D |
| 02/10 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Karlsruher SC | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 11/09 | Hannover 96 | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 05/09 | Holstein Kiel | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 29/08 | Arminia Bielefeld | Home | 4–1 | W |
SV Darmstadt 98
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 27/10 | SV Elversberg | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 23/10 | FC St. Pauli | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 18/10 | Karlsruher SC | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 10/10 | Energie Cottbus | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 30/09 | San Antonio | Away | 7–0 | W |
| 18/09 | VfL Wolfsburg | Away | 1–5 | L |
| 11/09 | Arminia Bielefeld | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 05/09 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 30/08 | Hannover 96 | Home | 0–1 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: 2. Bundesliga
1. FC Nürnberg #2 · 21 pts · SV Darmstadt 98 #16 · 9 pts
1. FC Nürnberg
SV Darmstadt 98
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
1. FC Nürnberg
SV Darmstadt 98
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: 2. Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws