VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 15:30 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Vonovia Ruhrstadion • 🌤 9.4°C, 7 km/h mostly clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Pinnacle1.84 | 48.5% | -10.8% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.28 | 74.3% | -4.9% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano1.52 | 59.3% · No 40.7% | -9.9% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Pinnacle1.58 | 56.8% · Under 43.2% | -10.3% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | William Hill8.00 | 9.6% | -23.2% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.9 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 59.4% · Under 40.6% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
VfL Bochum · Home
VfL Bochum won their two most recent home matches, beating FSV Mainz 05 2-0 and drawing 1-1 with VfL Wolfsburg, though they failed to score in two of their last five. Their model expected goals of 1.75 is the highest figure in this matchup.
Karlsruher SC · Away
Karlsruher SC have lost three of their last five, including a 1-6 defeat at 1. FC Magdeburg and a 0-2 loss at FC St. Pauli, while scoring four in a 4-0 home win over SV Darmstadt 98. Their recent xG for of 1.19 matches Bochum's, but their model expected goals of 1.22 is lower.
Bochum's Home Edge Holds
The latest head-to-head saw VfL Bochum win 2-1 away at Karlsruher SC on 17 May 2026, and the earlier meeting in Bochum finished 2-2. Bochum have taken two wins from their last five, while Karlsruher SC have lost three of five and conceded 11 goals across that run. Bochum's model expected goals of 1.75 against Karlsruher SC's 1.22 supports a home edge in a fixture where both sides have scored in recent meetings. The evidence supports VfL Bochum win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: VfL Bochum 1.75 – 1.22 Karlsruher SC · expected total 2.97
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
VfL Bochum
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
VfL Bochum
Karlsruher SC
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: 2. Bundesliga
VfL Bochum
Karlsruher SC
Rank among 18 2. Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
VfL Bochum at home · Karlsruher SC away, the split that matters for this fixture.
VfL Bochum (home)
Karlsruher SC (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Karlsruher SC 2 wins · 6 draws · VfL Bochum 2 wins · avg 2.6 goals · BTTS in 8 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Karlsruher SC | 1–2 | VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
| 20 Dec 2025 | VfL Bochum | 2–2 | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| 10 Dec 2022 | Vfl Bochum | 1–2 | Karlsruher SC | Friendlies Clubs |
| 31 Jan 2021 | Vfl Bochum | 1–2 | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| 27 Sep 2020 | Karlsruher SC | 0–1 | Vfl Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
| 24 May 2020 | Karlsruher SC | 0–0 | Vfl Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
| 20 Oct 2019 | Vfl Bochum | 3–3 | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| 05 Feb 2017 | Vfl Bochum | 1–1 | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| 13 Aug 2016 | Karlsruher SC | 1–1 | Vfl Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
| 22 Apr 2016 | Vfl Bochum | 1–1 | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
📈 Recent Form
VfL Bochum
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Energie Cottbus | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 27/10 | FSV Mainz 05 | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 23/10 | VfL Wolfsburg | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Arminia Bielefeld | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 02/10 | VfL Osnabrück | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 20/09 | Hannover 96 | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 12/09 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 05/09 | Dynamo Dresden | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 28/08 | VfL Osnabrück | Home | 0–1 | L |
Karlsruher SC
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | 1. FC Heidenheim | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 27/10 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 24/10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | Away | 1–6 | L |
| 18/10 | SV Darmstadt 98 | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 11/10 | FC St. Pauli | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 02/10 | SV Wehen | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | 1. FC Nürnberg | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 13/09 | Energie Cottbus | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 04/09 | Hannover 96 | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 29/08 | VfL Wolfsburg | Home | 2–5 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: 2. Bundesliga
VfL Bochum #11 · 11 pts · Karlsruher SC #13 · 11 pts
VfL Bochum
Karlsruher SC
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
VfL Bochum
Karlsruher SC
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: 2. Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws