Parma vs Bologna
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 20:00 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Stadio Ennio Tardini • ☀️ 8.3°C, 6 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away 2.13 → 1.89 ▼11% | 1xBet1.89 | 51.5% | -2.7% |
| Double Chance | X2 | 1xBet1.24 | 78.2% | -3% |
| BTTS | No | William Hill1.83 | 48.3% · Yes 51.7% | -11.6% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 1xBet1.79 | 54.6% · Over 45.4% | -2.3% |
| Correct Score | 0-1 | Betano6.40 | 10.5% | -32.8% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.9 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 54.3% · Over 45.7% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Parma · Home
Parma have scored just 3 goals across their last 5 matches, failing to score in 3 of them, including a 0-0 home draw with Udinese (0-0). Their recent xG for is 0.68 over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics, well below Bologna's 1.28.
Bologna · Away
Bologna have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 11 goals, with away wins at AC Milan (4-2) and Cagliari (2-0). They also won the latest H2H 1-0 at home (0-1) and triumphed 3-1 at Parma (1-3).
Bologna edge recent H2H
Bologna's recent scoring output of 11 goals in 5 matches contrasts sharply with Parma's 3, and Parma failed to score in 3 of those 5. The latest H2H ended 1-0 to Bologna (0-1), and Bologna also won 3-1 at Parma (1-3). Bologna's recent xG for of 1.28 over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics supports a modest edge, while Parma's 0.68 underlines their attacking difficulty. The evidence supports Bologna win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Parma 1.06 – 1.49 Bologna · expected total 2.54
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Parma
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Parma
Bologna
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie A
Parma
Bologna
Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Parma at home · Bologna away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Parma (home)
Bologna (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Bologna 5 wins · 3 draws · Parma 2 wins · avg 3.1 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb 2026 | Bologna | 0–1 | Parma | Serie A |
| 04 Dec 2025 | Bologna | 2–1 | Parma | Coppa Italia |
| 02 Nov 2025 | Parma | 1–3 | Bologna | Serie A |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Parma | 2–0 | Bologna | Serie A |
| 06 Oct 2024 | Bologna | 0–0 | Parma | Serie A |
| 07 Feb 2021 | Parma | 0–3 | Bologna | Serie A |
| 28 Sep 2020 | Bologna | 4–1 | Parma | Serie A |
| 12 Jul 2020 | Parma | 2–2 | Bologna | Serie A |
| 24 Nov 2019 | Bologna | 2–2 | Parma | Serie A |
| 13 May 2019 | Bologna | 4–1 | Parma | Serie A |
📈 Recent Form
Parma
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Udinese | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 24/10 | Lazio | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 19/10 | Torino | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Inter | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 20/09 | Genoa | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 14/09 | Como | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 06/09 | Monza | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 01/09 | Cremonese | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 29/08 | Juventus | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 22/08 | Cagliari | Home | 0–1 | L |
Bologna
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Monza | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 28/10 | AC Milan | Away | 4–2 | W |
| 24/10 | Cagliari | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Inter | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 11/10 | Lecce | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Torino | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 13/09 | Napoli | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 06/09 | Sassuolo | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 31/08 | Atalanta | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 24/08 | Lazio | Home | 0–1 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie A
Parma #18 · 5 pts · Bologna #9 · 14 pts
Parma
Bologna
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Parma
Bologna
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Parma
- ❌ S. Britschgi: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ O. Diallo: Injury
- ❌ L. Valenti: Rest
- ❌ H. Nicolussi: Groin Injury
- ❌ P. Almqvist: Calf Injury
- ❌ A. Ndiaye: Knock
- ❌ N. Elphege: Illness
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): A. Joujou, A. Bernabe; not counted as confirmed absences.
Bologna
- ❌ N. Casale: Muscle Injury
- ❌ O. El Azzouzi: Thigh Injury
- ❌ R. Orsolini: Injury
- ❌ A. Dovbyk: Muscle Injury
- ❌ N. Zortea: Hip Injury
- ❌ E. Holm: Thigh Injury
- ❌ S. Mbangula: Injury
- ❌ J. Odgaard: Thigh Injury
- ❌ R. Piccoli: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ L. De Silvestri: Muscle Injury
- ❌ J. Enem: Achilles Tendon Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): J. Rowe; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Serie A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws