Venezia vs Udinese
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Stadio Pierluigi Penzo • 🌧 9.2°C, 3 km/h, 0.1mm rain
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 2.44 → 2.23 ▼9% | Dafabet2.23 | 43.7% | -2.5% |
| Double Chance | 12 | 1xBet1.31 | 74.3% | -2.7% |
| BTTS | Yes | Bet3651.62 | 62.1% · No 37.9% | +0.6% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 1xBet1.76 | 56.8% · Under 43.2% | -0% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Betano9.25 | 8.8% | -18.6% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.3 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 55.5% · Under 44.5% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Venezia · Home
Venezia's recent record is poor at one win from five, but that win was a 1-0 home result against Napoli and their historical weighted recent xG of 1.86 is well above Udinese's 1.19. The model expected goals of 1.59 for this fixture is consistent with a home side that has created more than its two goals scored suggest.
Udinese · Away
Udinese are without a win in five, with one draw and four defeats, and they conceded 12 goals across those matches. They failed to score in three of the five, including the 0-0 at Parma and the 0-2 home loss to AC Milan.
Venezia's Home Edge Over Leaky Udinese
The latest head-to-head, on 2 Sep 2026, finished 2-1 to Udinese, and the two meetings before it also produced wins for the home side, including Venezia's 3-2 at home. Udinese's defensive record of 12 goals conceded in five matches gives Venezia a realistic route to the result the model favours. Venezia's own scoring is thin, with two goals in five, so the margin may be narrow rather than comfortable. The evidence supports Venezia win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Venezia 1.59 – 1.45 Udinese · expected total 3.04
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Venezia
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Venezia
Udinese
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie A
Venezia
Udinese
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Venezia at home · Udinese away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Venezia (home)
Udinese (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Udinese 4 wins · 0 draws · Venezia 1 win · avg 3.8 goals · BTTS in 4 of 5
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep 2026 | Udinese | 2–1 | Venezia | Coppa Italia |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Udinese | 3–2 | Venezia | Serie A |
| 30 Oct 2024 | Venezia | 3–2 | Udinese | Serie A |
| 10 Apr 2022 | Venezia | 1–2 | Udinese | Serie A |
| 27 Aug 2021 | Udinese | 3–0 | Venezia | Serie A |
📈 Recent Form
Venezia
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Como | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 28/10 | Inter | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 25/10 | Genoa | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 17/10 | Napoli | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 12/10 | Atalanta | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 19/09 | Lazio | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 11/09 | Fiorentina | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 06/09 | Frosinone | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 02/09 | Udinese | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 28/08 | AC Milan | Away | 0–2 | L |
Udinese
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | AS Roma | Home | 2–5 | L |
| 28/10 | Parma | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 25/10 | AC Milan | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Lecce | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 12/10 | Torino | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 26/09 | Pogon Szczecin | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Cagliari | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 14/09 | Inter | Away | 3–5 | L |
| 07/09 | Lazio | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 02/09 | Venezia | Home | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie A
Venezia #20 · 3 pts · Udinese #19 · 5 pts
Venezia
Udinese
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Venezia
Udinese
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Venezia
- ❌ A. Duncan: Injury
- ❌ M. Moreno: Health problems
- ❌ B. Franjić: Wound
- ❌ A. Adorante: Inguinal Hernia
- ❌ T. Bašić: Foot Injury
- ❌ A. Bella-Kotchap: Wound
- ❌ G. Busio: Wound
- ❌ M. Šverko: Hip Injury
- ❌ P. Mazzocchi: Calf Injury
- ❌ T. Correia: Thigh Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): M. Dagasso, R. Haps; not counted as confirmed absences.
Udinese
- ❌ G. Chakvetadze: Foot Injury
- ❌ C. Kabasele: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ A. Zanoli: Knee Injury
- ❌ N. Zaniolo: Thigh Injury
- ❌ J. Piotrowski: Heart Problems
- ❌ J. Arizala: Thigh Problems
- ❌ M. Palma: Muscle Bruise
- ❌ O. Solet: Injury
- ❌ I. Gueye: Ankle Injury
- ❌ V. Bayo: Thigh Injury
- ❌ D. Alaba: Calf Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): A. Buksa; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Serie A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws