Gavorrano vs Lucchese
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group E - 12
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 54.6% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 85.2% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 66.3% · Yes 33.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 69.6% · Over 30.4% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 18.5% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Gavorrano · Home
Gavorrano are unbeaten across their last five, drawing four of them, and have scored in every one of those matches. Their model expected goals of 1.35 point to a modest but steady attacking output at home.
Lucchese · Away
Lucchese have conceded in all five recent matches and failed to score in one of them. Their model expected goals of 0.58 is the lower of the two sides.
Gavorrano edge a tight home meeting
The latest head-to-head, on 10 Mar 2018, finished 0-0 when Lucchese hosted, while the earlier meeting saw Gavorrano win 1-0. Gavorrano's recent run of four draws in five, including 1-1 against Prato and 1-1 against Terranuova Traiana, shows they stay level in low-scoring games rather than pull clear. Lucchese's away results include a 0-2 loss at Sasso Marconi Zola and a 2-3 defeat at Terranuova Traiana, both with goals conceded. The evidence supports Gavorrano win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Gavorrano 1.35 – 0.58 Lucchese · expected total 1.93
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Gavorrano
Lucchese
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone E
Gavorrano
Lucchese
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone E teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Gavorrano at home · Lucchese away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Gavorrano (home)
Lucchese (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Gavorrano 1 win · 1 draw · Lucchese 0 wins · avg 0.5 goals · BTTS in 0 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2018 | Lucchese | 0–0 | Gavorrano | Serie C |
| 22 Oct 2017 | Gavorrano | 1–0 | Lucchese | Serie C |
📈 Recent Form
Gavorrano
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Scandicci | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 25/10 | Seravezza | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Prato | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 11/10 | Terranuova Traiana | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 04/10 | Flaminia | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 27/09 | Sasso Marconi Zola | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 20/09 | San Donato Tavarnelle | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Ternana | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 06/09 | Grassina | Home | 2–0 | W |
Lucchese
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Terranuova Traiana | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 25/10 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Sasso Marconi Zola | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Ternana | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 04/10 | Grassina | Away | 6–3 | W |
| 27/09 | Robur Siena | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 20/09 | Rondinella | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 16/09 | Progresso | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Seravezza | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 06/09 | Montevarchi Calcio | Home | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone E
Gavorrano #2 · 20 pts · Lucchese #10 · 15 pts
Gavorrano
Lucchese
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Gavorrano
Lucchese
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone E predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws