Prato vs Tau Altopascio
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group E - 12 • ☀️ 17.5°C, 10 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 50.6% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 76.3% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 65.5% · No 34.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 65.3% · Under 34.7% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.4% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Prato · Home
Prato have scored in all five of their recent matches, including a 4-0 home win over Mezzolara (4-0) and a 2-0 home win over San Donato Tavarnelle (2-0), with 9 goals scored and only 4 conceded across that run. Their model expected goals of 1.99 for this fixture reflect that steady attacking output at home.
Tau Altopascio · Away
Tau Altopascio have failed to score in two of their last five, including away defeats to Flaminia (0-2) and San Donato Tavarnelle (0-1). Their 4 goals scored across those five matches is a modest return, and their model expected goals of 1.38 sits below Prato's.
Prato's home scoring edge
The latest head-to-head between these sides finished 2-2 at Prato (2-2), and the two meetings before that also produced goals, including Tau's 3-2 win (3-2) and a 0-2 Prato home defeat (0-2). Prato's recent home record of two wins, one draw and one loss, with 9 goals scored in five, gives the home side the more reliable scoring base. Tau have scored just 4 in their last five and failed to score twice, which limits their capacity to outscore Prato here. The evidence supports Prato win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Prato 1.99 – 1.38 Tau Altopascio · expected total 3.37
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Prato
Tau Altopascio
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone E
Prato
Tau Altopascio
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone E teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Prato at home · Tau Altopascio away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Prato (home)
Tau Altopascio (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Prato 0 wins · 1 draw · Tau Altopascio 3 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 2 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Prato | 2–2 | Tau Altopascio | Serie D - Girone E |
| 24 Sep 2025 | Tau Altopascio | 3–2 | Prato | Serie D - Girone E |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Prato | 0–2 | Tau Altopascio | Serie D - Girone D |
| 17 Nov 2024 | Tau Altopascio | 1–0 | Prato | Serie D - Girone D |
📈 Recent Form
Prato
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Mezzolara | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 28/10 | Ternana | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 25/10 | Flaminia | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Gavorrano | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 11/10 | San Donato Tavarnelle | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 07/10 | Terranuova Traiana | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Terranuova Traiana | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 27/09 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 20/09 | Sasso Marconi Zola | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Grassina | Home | 1–1 | D |
Tau Altopascio
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Flaminia | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 25/10 | Sasso Marconi Zola | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 18/10 | San Donato Tavarnelle | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 11/10 | Grassina | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 04/10 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Rondinella | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 20/09 | Ternana | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 16/09 | Robur Siena | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 12/09 | Montevarchi Calcio | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 06/09 | Progresso | Home | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone E
Prato #1 · 22 pts · Tau Altopascio #7 · 16 pts
Prato
Tau Altopascio
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Prato
Tau Altopascio
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone E predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws