Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone G

Trastevere vs Albalonga

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group G - 12 • 🌦 7.6°C, 14 km/h, 0.7mm drizzle

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available48.6% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available77.4% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available71.5% · No 28.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available72.2% · Under 27.8% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available8.7% —

🧠 Match Preview

Trastevere · Home

Trastevere have scored 8 goals across their last five matches, including a 3-2 home win over Sarrabus Ogliastra and a 3-2 away win at Atletico Lodigiani. They also failed to score in two of those five, so the attacking output has been uneven.

Albalonga · Away

Albalonga have also scored 8 goals in their last five, with a 4-2 away win at Budoni and a 2-0 away win at Latte Dolce. Their two clean sheets came in the 2-0 win and a 0-0 home draw with Certosa V. Campagnano.

Trastevere's H2H edge at home

The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Trastevere beat Albalonga 2-0 on 10 May 2026 and 3-0 on 26 Apr 2026, both at home, before a 2-2 draw in the reverse fixture. Trastevere's model expected goals of 2.14 sit above Albalonga's 1.62 for this fixture. Albalonga's away form is not passive, with 2-0 and 4-2 wins, so a home win need not be one-sided. The evidence supports Trastevere win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Trastevere 2.14 – 1.62 Albalonga · expected total 3.76

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Trastevere

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.80
Best league winning streak this season5
Elo strength rating1364

Albalonga

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1397
TrastevereAlbalonga
Goals scored (season avg)
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.80
1.30
Best league winning streak this season
5
3
Elo strength rating
1364
1397

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Trastevere

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Albalonga

Unbeaten 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone G

Trastevere

3rd best Over 2.5 rate (67%, last 6)

Albalonga

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone G teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Trastevere at home · Albalonga away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Trastevere (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–1L
W 2
D 1
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Albalonga (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–1L
W 2
D 1
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Trastevere (home)Albalonga (away)
W 2
D 1
L 1
W 2
D 1
L 1
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
2.30
Goals conceded (avg)
2.30
1.80
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
8.7%
3–1
6.19%
2–0
5.36%
3–2
5.02%
1–0
4.21%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Albalonga 0 wins · 1 draw · Trastevere 2 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 1 of 3

1
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
10 May 2026 Trastevere 2–0 Albalonga Serie D - Girone G
26 Apr 2026 Trastevere 3–0 Albalonga Serie D - Girone G
14 Dec 2025 Albalonga 2–2 Trastevere Serie D - Girone G

📈 Recent Form

Trastevere

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24/10 Monastir Away 2–2 D
18/10 Sarrabus Ogliastra Home 3–2 W
11/10 Aranova Away 0–2 L
04/10 Città di Anagni Home 0–0 D
27/09 Atletico Lodigiani Away 3–2 W
20/09 Paganese Home 1–6 L
16/09 Ossese Away 1–1 D
13/09 Gelbison Home 2–1 W
06/09 Venafro Away 1–0 W
16/05 Monastir Home 0–1 L

Albalonga

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Latte Dolce Away 2–0 W
25/10 Unipomezia Home 1–1 D
18/10 Budoni Away 4–2 W
11/10 Certosa V. Campagnano Home 0–0 D
07/10 Certosa V. Campagnano Away 1–4 L
04/10 Anzio Home 0–2 L
27/09 Monastir Away 2–2 D
20/09 Sarrabus Ogliastra Home 1–1 D
16/09 Aranova Away 0–1 L
12/09 Città di Anagni Home 3–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone G

Trastevere #7 · 15 pts ·  Albalonga #5 · 16 pts

Trastevere

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–2L
W 4
D 3
L 2
Played9
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Albalonga

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–4D–2L
W 4
D 4
L 2
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
TrastevereAlbalonga
W 4
D 3
L 2
W 4
D 4
L 2
Played
9
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
1.30
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
2
3
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Trastevere

4
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
4
46-60
3
2
61-75
1
3
76-90
3
scored conceded

Albalonga

3
0-15
16-30
4
1
31-45
4
46-60
2
4
61-75
3
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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