Paganese vs Atletico Lodigiani
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group G - 12 • Stadio Marcello Torre • 🌦 19.8°C, 3 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 60.3% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 83.1% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 56% · No 44% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 58.5% · Under 41.5% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 10% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Paganese · Home
Paganese have won only one of their last five, but that win was a 3-0 home display against Budoni, and they also drew 1-1 at home with Ossese. The model expects 2.05 goals from them here, the higher of the two expected totals.
Atletico Lodigiani · Away
Atletico Lodigiani are without a win in five, with 3 goals scored and 10 conceded across that run, including a 0-4 loss at Afragolese. They failed to score in two of those five matches.
Home edge backed by H2H split
The latest head-to-head is the cautionary note: Atletico Lodigiani won 3-1 on 23 Feb 2025. Yet the reverse meeting finished 2-0 to Paganese, so the venue has decided both encounters. Paganese's 3-0 home win over Budoni and Atletico Lodigiani's 3 goals in five away-and-home matches point the same way, while the visitors' 0-4 defeat at Afragolese shows how quickly their matches can open up. That fits a home win with goals at both ends rather than a clean sweep. The evidence supports Paganese win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Paganese 2.05 – 1.00 Atletico Lodigiani · expected total 3.05
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Paganese
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Paganese
Atletico Lodigiani
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone G
Paganese
Atletico Lodigiani
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone G teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Paganese at home · Atletico Lodigiani away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Paganese (home)
Atletico Lodigiani (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Atletico Lodigiani 1 win · 0 draws · Paganese 1 win · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 1 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2025 | Atletico Lodigiani | 3–1 | Paganese | Serie D - Girone G |
| 23 Oct 2024 | Paganese | 2–0 | Atletico Lodigiani | Serie D - Girone G |
📈 Recent Form
Paganese
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Ossese | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 25/10 | Città di Anagni | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Venafro | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 11/10 | Budoni | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Sarnese | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 27/09 | Gelbison | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 20/09 | Trastevere | Away | 6–1 | W |
| 16/09 | Afragolese | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 12/09 | Latte Dolce | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 06/09 | Unipomezia | Home | 2–1 | W |
Atletico Lodigiani
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Gelbison | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 25/10 | Venafro | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Afragolese | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 11/10 | Sarnese | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 04/10 | Unipomezia | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 27/09 | Trastevere | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 20/09 | Certosa V. Campagnano | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 16/09 | Latte Dolce | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 12/09 | Monastir | Away | 1–5 | L |
| 06/09 | Albalonga | Home | 2–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone G
Paganese #8 · 14 pts · Atletico Lodigiani #18 · 3 pts
Paganese
Atletico Lodigiani
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Paganese
Atletico Lodigiani
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone G predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws