AC Palermo vs Igea Virtus
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group I - 11
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 44.3% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 74.6% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 63.7% · No 36.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 61.3% · Under 38.7% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.2% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
AC Palermo · Home
AC Palermo have won three of their last five, keeping four clean sheets, and their model expected goals of 1.75 is the higher of the two sides. They beat Vigor Lamezia 1-0 and Calcio Avola 1-0, but lost 1-2 at home to Licata.
Igea Virtus · Away
Igea Virtus scored 10 and conceded 10 across their last five, with no clean sheet in four of those games. They won 1-0 at Gelbison and drew 2-2 at Enna, but lost 2-4 at home to Sambiase.
Palermo's Tight Games
The latest head-to-head went 1-0 to Igea Virtus in January 2026, while the earlier meeting finished 2-2 at Palermo. Palermo's recent matches have been low-scoring, but Igea Virtus have conceded at least twice in three of their last five. The model expects 1.75 goals for Palermo against 1.42 for Igea Virtus, and a 2-1 correct score fits a home side that has scored in four of five. The evidence supports AC Palermo win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: AC Palermo 1.75 – 1.42 Igea Virtus · expected total 3.17
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
AC Palermo
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
AC Palermo
Igea Virtus
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone I
AC Palermo
Igea Virtus
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone I teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
AC Palermo at home · Igea Virtus away, the split that matters for this fixture.
AC Palermo (home)
Igea Virtus (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
AC Palermo 0 wins · 1 draw · Igea Virtus 1 win · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 1 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Igea Virtus | 1–0 | AC Palermo | Serie D - Girone I |
| 24 Sep 2025 | AC Palermo | 2–2 | Igea Virtus | Serie D - Girone I |
📈 Recent Form
AC Palermo
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Vigor Lamezia | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Calcio Avola | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 11/10 | Licata | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 04/10 | Gela | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 27/09 | Milazzo | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Vibonese | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 16/09 | Digiesse PraiaTortora | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 13/09 | Enna | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 06/09 | Siracusa | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 10/05 | Reggina | Away | 0–1 | L |
Igea Virtus
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Sambiase | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 28/10 | Gelbison | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Enna | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 18/10 | Ragusa | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 11/10 | CastrumFavara | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 07/10 | Reggina | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 04/10 | Nissa | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 27/09 | Reggina | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Trapani 1905 | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 16/09 | Vibonese | Home | 4–3 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone I
AC Palermo #9 · 14 pts · Igea Virtus #8 · 15 pts
AC Palermo
Igea Virtus
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
AC Palermo
Igea Virtus
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone I predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws