Italy Serie D - Girone I Draw Football Predictions

Round 12 • 2 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
🔍 More Italy League Tips
Serie A Serie B Serie C - Girone A Campionato Primavera 1 Campionato Primavera 2 Coppa Italia Primavera Coppa Italia Serie C Coppa Italia Serie D Serie A Women Serie C - Girone B Serie C - Girone C Serie D - Girone A Serie D - Girone B Serie D - Girone C Serie D - Girone D Serie D - Girone E Serie D - Girone F Serie D - Girone G Serie D - Girone H

Group I, Round 12

Sunday, November 15

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
16:30 DDWLL
Trapani 1905 Trapani 1905 vs AC Palermo AC Palermo
WWLDW 28.6% Draw N/A — —
16:30 LLLDL
Ragusa Ragusa vs CastrumFavara CastrumFavara
LDLWL 34.8% Draw N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone I for Draws

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

9 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
44.4% 4/9
⚽ Both Teams to Score
33.3% 3/9
📈 Over / Under 2.5
22.2% 2/9
🔢 Correct Score
11.1% 1/9
🛡️ Double Chance
77.8% 7/9
🤝 Draw Predictions
0.0% 0/1
📌 1X2 · draw picks
0.0% 0/1
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
50.0% 4/8

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 44.4% 4/9
⚽ Both Teams to Score 33.3% 3/9
📈 Over / Under 2.5 22.2% 2/9
🛡️ Double Chance 77.8% 7/9
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 45.1% 37.5% 8 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 80+% 81.2% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 60.2% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 54.5% 20.0% 5 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 75.0% 33.3% 3 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 53.8% 28.6% 7 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 63.9% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 71.5% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 12.2% 11.1% 9 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 66.8% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 86.0% 100.0% 3 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.6% 80.0% 5 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 27.3% 0.0% 1 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Group I, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
01/11 17:00 LWDWL
Igea Virtus Igea Virtus vs Sambiase Sambiase
WWDWL 27.3% Draw ❌ @3.201xBet -12.6% 2 – 4 FT