Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone I

Trapani 1905 vs AC Palermo

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group I - 12 • Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale • ☀️ 19.9°C, 13 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available28.6% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available66% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available55.2% · No 44.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available50.5% · Over 49.5% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available13.6% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Trapani 1905 37.4% · Draw 28.6% · AC Palermo 34.0%. Selected outcome: Draw.

Goals

Model expected goals: Trapani 1905 1.36, AC Palermo 1.29, expected total 2.66.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Trapani 1905: D-W-L-L-W in their last five matches.
AC Palermo: W-L-D-W-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Trapani 1905

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1369

AC Palermo

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1653
Trapani 1905AC Palermo
Goals scored (season avg)
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.30
1.30
Best league winning streak this season
2
4
Elo strength rating
1369
1653

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Trapani 1905

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

AC Palermo

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
4/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone I

Trapani 1905

2nd worst attack (0.60 goals/game, season)

AC Palermo

2nd best clean sheets (4, season)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone I teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Trapani 1905 at home · AC Palermo away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Trapani 1905 (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–2L
W 2
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1

AC Palermo (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–2L
D 1
L 2
Played3
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Trapani 1905 (home)AC Palermo (away)
W 2
L 2
D 1
L 2
Played
4
3
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
2.30
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
13.63%
0–0
8.28%
2–2
5.45%
3–3
1.07%
4–4
0.12%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Trapani 1905

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Enna Home 2–2 D
25/10 Siracusa Away 1–1 D
18/10 CastrumFavara Home 1–0 W
11/10 Sambiase Away 0–1 L
07/10 Licata Home 1–2 L
04/10 Reggina Home 1–0 W
27/09 Ragusa Away 1–0 W
20/09 Igea Virtus Home 1–3 L
16/09 Nissa Away 0–2 L
13/09 Calcio Avola Away 0–1 L

AC Palermo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Vigor Lamezia Away 1–0 W
25/10 Calcio Avola Home 1–0 W
11/10 Licata Home 1–2 L
04/10 Gela Away 0–0 D
27/09 Milazzo Home 3–0 W
20/09 Vibonese Away 0–3 L
16/09 Digiesse PraiaTortora Home 1–1 D
13/09 Enna Home 3–0 W
06/09 Siracusa Away 2–4 L
10/05 Reggina Away 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone I

Trapani 1905 #16 · 6 pts ·  AC Palermo #9 · 14 pts

Trapani 1905

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–5L
W 3
D 2
L 5
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets3
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

AC Palermo

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–3L
W 4
D 2
L 3
Played9
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Trapani 1905AC Palermo
W 3
D 2
L 5
W 4
D 2
L 3
Played
10
9
Goals scored (avg)
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.30
Clean sheets
3
4
Failed to score
4
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Trapani 1905

1
0-15
1
16-30
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
4
76-90
2
scored conceded

AC Palermo

0-15
1
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
4
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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