Italy Serie D - Girone I Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions

Round 11 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
🔍 More Italy League Tips
Serie A Serie B Serie C - Girone A Campionato Primavera 1 Campionato Primavera 2 Coppa Italia Primavera Coppa Italia Serie C Coppa Italia Serie D Serie A Women Serie C - Girone B Serie C - Girone C Serie D - Girone A Serie D - Girone B Serie D - Girone C Serie D - Girone D Serie D - Girone E Serie D - Girone F Serie D - Girone G Serie D - Girone H

Group I, Round 11

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
16:30 LDLWL
Siracusa Siracusa vs Nissa Nissa
WLLDD 60.7% Over 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 DDLLL
Enna Enna vs Reggina Reggina
WDWDL 47.5% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 WWDWL
Sambiase Sambiase vs Ragusa Ragusa
LLLDL 49.8% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LDLWL
CastrumFavara CastrumFavara vs Vibonese Vibonese
WWDDW 66% Over 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 WWDDD
Gela Gela vs Calcio Avola Calcio Avola
WLDWL 53.5% Over 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 WWLDW
AC Palermo AC Palermo vs Igea Virtus Igea Virtus
LWDWL 61.3% Over 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LWWDW
Milazzo Milazzo vs Vigor Lamezia Vigor Lamezia
LLWLW 71.9% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 WWLWL
Digiesse PraiaTortora Digiesse PraiaTortora vs Trapani 1905 Trapani 1905
DDWLL 54% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LWLLW
Modica Modica vs Licata Licata
LLLWW 65.1% Under 2.5 N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone I for Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

9 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
44.4% 4/9
⚽ Both Teams to Score
33.3% 3/9
📈 Over / Under 2.5
22.2% 2/9
🔢 Correct Score
11.1% 1/9
🛡️ Double Chance
77.8% 7/9
🤝 Draw Predictions
0.0% 0/1
📌 1X2 · draw picks
0.0% 0/1
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
50.0% 4/8

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 44.4% 4/9
⚽ Both Teams to Score 33.3% 3/9
📈 Over / Under 2.5 22.2% 2/9
🛡️ Double Chance 77.8% 7/9
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 45.1% 37.5% 8 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 80+% 81.2% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 60.2% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 54.5% 20.0% 5 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 75.0% 33.3% 3 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 53.8% 28.6% 7 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 63.9% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 71.5% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 12.2% 11.1% 9 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 66.8% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 86.0% 100.0% 3 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.6% 80.0% 5 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 27.3% 0.0% 1 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Group I, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
01/11 17:00 DDLLL
Enna Enna vs Acireale Acireale
----- — No data N/A — 2 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 WWDDW
Vibonese Vibonese vs Ragusa Ragusa
LLLDL — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 DLLWL
Gelbison Gelbison vs Savoia Savoia
DWDLW — No data N/A — 2 – 6 FT
02/11 16:30 -----
Paternò Paternò vs AC Palermo AC Palermo
WWLDW — No data N/A — 3 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 WWDWL
Sambiase Sambiase vs Sancataldese Sancataldese
----- — No data N/A — 2 – 0 FT
02/11 16:30 LDLWL
CastrumFavara CastrumFavara vs Vigor Lamezia Vigor Lamezia
LLWLW — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
02/11 17:00 WDWDL
Reggina Reggina vs Igea Virtus Igea Virtus
LWDWL — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
02/11 17:00 WLLDD
Nissa Nissa vs Messina Messina
----- — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
02/11 17:00 LWWDW
Milazzo Milazzo vs Gela Gela
WWDDD — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WLLDD
Nissa Nissa vs CastrumFavara CastrumFavara
LDLWL 52.5% Under 2.5 ❌ @1.851xBet -2.9% 5 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 WDWDL
Reggina Reggina vs Ragusa Ragusa
LLLDL 57.5% Under 2.5 ❌ N/A — 5 – 2 FT
01/11 16:30 DDWLL
Trapani 1905 Trapani 1905 vs Enna Enna
DDLLL 63.9% Under 2.5 ❌ N/A — 2 – 2 FT
01/11 16:30 WWDDW
Vibonese Vibonese vs Milazzo Milazzo
LWWDW 57.2% Over 2.5 ✅ @1.891xBet +8.1% 2 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 LLWLW
Vigor Lamezia Vigor Lamezia vs AC Palermo AC Palermo
WWLDW 71.5% Over 2.5 ❌ N/A — 0 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 LWLLW
Modica Modica vs Gela Gela
WWDDD 54.8% Under 2.5 ✅ N/A — 0 – 1 FT
01/11 17:00 LWDWL
Igea Virtus Igea Virtus vs Sambiase Sambiase
WWDWL 45.8% Under 2.5 ❌ @1.961xBet -10.2% 2 – 4 FT
01/11 17:00 WLDWL
Calcio Avola Calcio Avola vs Siracusa Siracusa
LDLWL 52.6% Under 2.5 ❌ N/A — 4 – 2 FT
01/11 17:00 LLLWW
Licata Licata vs Digiesse PraiaTortora Digiesse PraiaTortora
WWLWL 56.5% Over 2.5 ❌ N/A — 0 – 1 FT