Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone I

Gela vs Calcio Avola

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group I - 11 • ☁️ 19.9°C, 8 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available49.7% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available76% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available56.2% · No 43.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available53.5% · Under 46.5% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.7% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Gela 49.7% · Draw 26.3% · Calcio Avola 24.0%. Selected outcome: Gela win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Gela 1.70, Calcio Avola 1.12, expected total 2.82.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Gela: W-D-D-D-L in their last five matches.
Calcio Avola: L-D-W-L-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Gela

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)0.90
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1536

Calcio Avola

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1370
GelaCalcio Avola
Goals scored (season avg)
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.90
1.30
Best league winning streak this season
3
4
Elo strength rating
1536
1370

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Gela

Won 2 in a row Unbeaten 5
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Calcio Avola

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone I

Gela

3rd best defence (0.90 conceded/game, season) Worst Over 2.5 rate (17%, last 6)

Calcio Avola

2nd best clean sheets (4, season)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone I teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Gela at home · Calcio Avola away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Gela (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–0L
W 2
D 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)0.40
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2

Calcio Avola (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–3L
W 2
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Gela (home)Calcio Avola (away)
W 2
D 3
W 2
L 3
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.40
1.80
Clean sheets
3
2
Failed to score
2
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.67%
1–0
9%
2–0
8.62%
3–1
5.48%
3–0
4.89%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Gela

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Modica Away 1–0 W
25/10 Licata Home 4–0 W
18/10 Vibonese Away 1–1 D
11/10 Milazzo Home 1–1 D
04/10 AC Palermo Home 0–0 D
27/09 Digiesse PraiaTortora Away 0–1 L
20/09 Enna Home 0–0 D
16/09 Siracusa Away 1–2 L
13/09 CastrumFavara Home 2–1 W
06/09 Sambiase Away 1–2 L

Calcio Avola

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Siracusa Home 4–2 W
25/10 AC Palermo Away 0–1 L
18/10 Sambiase Home 1–1 D
11/10 Enna Away 2–0 W
07/10 Modica Home 0–4 L
04/10 Ragusa Home 1–0 W
27/09 CastrumFavara Away 1–0 W
20/09 Nissa Home 4–2 W
16/09 Reggina Away 0–4 L
13/09 Trapani 1905 Home 1–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone I

Gela #10 · 12 pts ·  Calcio Avola #4 · 19 pts

Gela

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–4D–3L
W 3
D 4
L 3
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards3
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0

Calcio Avola

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–1D–3L
W 6
D 1
L 3
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)4/0
GelaCalcio Avola
W 3
D 4
L 3
W 6
D 1
L 3
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
0.90
1.30
Clean sheets
3
4
Failed to score
3
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
3
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
3/0
4/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Gela

0-15
1
1
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
3
61-75
3
4
76-90
3
scored conceded

Calcio Avola

1
0-15
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
3
61-75
2
3
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone I predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws