Italy Serie D - Girone I Correct Score Football Predictions

Round 11 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

Group I, Round 11

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Score Odds Model EV Result
16:30 LDLWL WLLDD 10% 2-1 N/A — —
16:30 DDLLL WDWDL 12.1% 0-2 N/A — —
16:30 WWDWL LLLDL 16.1% 2-0 N/A — —
16:30 LDLWL WWDDW 8.8% 1-2 N/A — —
16:30 WWDDD WLDWL 9.7% 2-1 N/A — —
16:30 WWLDW LWDWL 9.2% 2-1 N/A — —
16:30 LWWDW LLWLW 23% 1-0 N/A — —
16:30 WWLWL DDWLL 12.8% 1-0 N/A — —
16:30 LWLLW LLLWW 15.1% 1-0 N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

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Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

9 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
44.4% 4/9
⚽ Both Teams to Score
33.3% 3/9
📈 Over / Under 2.5
22.2% 2/9
🔢 Correct Score
11.1% 1/9
🛡️ Double Chance
77.8% 7/9
🤝 Draw Predictions
0.0% 0/1
📌 1X2 · draw picks
0.0% 0/1
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
50.0% 4/8

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 44.4% 4/9
⚽ Both Teams to Score 33.3% 3/9
📈 Over / Under 2.5 22.2% 2/9
🛡️ Double Chance 77.8% 7/9
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 45.1% 37.5% 8 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 80+% 81.2% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 60.2% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 54.5% 20.0% 5 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 75.0% 33.3% 3 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 53.8% 28.6% 7 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 63.9% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 71.5% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 12.2% 11.1% 9 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 66.8% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 86.0% 100.0% 3 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.6% 80.0% 5 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 27.3% 0.0% 1 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Group I, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Score Odds Model EV Result
01/11 17:00 DDLLL ----- — No data N/A — 2 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 WWDDW LLLDL — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 DLLWL DWDLW — No data N/A — 2 – 6 FT
02/11 16:30 ----- WWLDW — No data N/A — 3 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 WWDWL ----- — No data N/A — 2 – 0 FT
02/11 16:30 LDLWL LLWLW — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
02/11 17:00 WDWDL LWDWL — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
02/11 17:00 WLLDD ----- — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
02/11 17:00 LWWDW WWDDD — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WLLDD LDLWL 13.3% 1-0 ❌ N/A — 5 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 WDWDL LLLDL 21% 2-0 ❌ N/A — 5 – 2 FT
01/11 16:30 DDWLL DDLLL 15.1% 1-0 ❌ N/A — 2 – 2 FT
01/11 16:30 WWDDW LWWDW 8.5% 2-1 ✅ N/A — 2 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 LLWLW WWLDW 8.3% 2-1 ❌ N/A — 0 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 LWLLW WWDDD 10.3% 1-0 ❌ N/A — 0 – 1 FT
01/11 17:00 LWDWL WWDWL 12.1% 1-1 ❌ N/A — 2 – 4 FT
01/11 17:00 WLDWL LDLWL 11.5% 1-0 ❌ N/A — 4 – 2 FT
01/11 17:00 LLLWW WWLWL 9.4% 2-1 ❌ N/A — 0 – 1 FT