Siracusa vs Nissa
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group I - 11 • Stadio Nicola De Simone • ☁️ 20.2°C, 9 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 61.6% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 83.7% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 57.3% · No 42.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 60.7% · Under 39.3% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 10% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Siracusa · Home
Siracusa's latest home league result was a 1-1 draw with Trapani 1905, but they also beat Vigor Lamezia 3-0 at home in this five-match run. The model gives them 2.13 expected goals for this fixture.
Nissa · Away
Nissa won 5-1 at home against CastrumFavara but have not kept a clean sheet in their last five, conceding 6 goals across those matches. Their model expected goals for this fixture is 1.02.
Siracusa's H2H edge
The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Siracusa beat Nissa 4-1 on 19 Jan 2025, and the earlier meeting finished 0-1 to Siracusa on 22 Sep 2024. Siracusa have scored in four of their last five, failing to score only in the 0-1 loss at Milazzo. Nissa have scored in four of five and drew 1-1 away at Ragusa and 1-1 away at Igea Virtus, so they can contribute to a home win rather than be shut out. The evidence supports Siracusa win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Siracusa 2.13 – 1.02 Nissa · expected total 3.15
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Siracusa
Nissa
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone I
Siracusa
Nissa
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone I teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Siracusa at home · Nissa away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Siracusa (home)
Nissa (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Nissa 0 wins · 0 draws · Siracusa 2 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 1 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2025 | Siracusa | 4–1 | Nissa | Serie D - Girone I |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Nissa | 0–1 | Siracusa | Serie D - Girone I |
📈 Recent Form
Siracusa
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Calcio Avola | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 25/10 | Trapani 1905 | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Licata | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Vigor Lamezia | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Milazzo | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 27/09 | Modica | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Digiesse PraiaTortora | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 16/09 | Gela | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Vibonese | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 06/09 | AC Palermo | Home | 4–2 | W |
Nissa
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | CastrumFavara | Home | 5–1 | W |
| 25/10 | Sambiase | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 18/10 | Reggina | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Ragusa | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 04/10 | Igea Virtus | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 27/09 | Vibonese | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Calcio Avola | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 16/09 | Trapani 1905 | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 13/09 | Licata | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 06/09 | Vigor Lamezia | Home | 3–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone I
Siracusa #12 · 8 pts · Nissa #11 · 12 pts
Siracusa
Nissa
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Siracusa
Nissa
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone I predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws