Sambiase vs Ragusa
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group I - 11 • ☁️ 18.2°C, 9 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 74.9% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 93.3% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 63.5% · Yes 36.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 49.8% · Over 50.2% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-0 | Current price not available | 16.1% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Sambiase · Home
Sambiase enter on a five-match run of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, scoring in every one of those games and keeping two clean sheets. The home side's most recent outing was a 4-2 win at Igea Virtus, and they also beat Nissa 1-0 at home.
Ragusa · Away
Ragusa are without a win in five, with 1 draw and 4 losses, conceding 13 goals across that span and failing to score once. Their latest match was a 2-5 home defeat to Reggina.
Sambiase edge recent H2H
The latest head-to-head, on 18 Jan 2026, finished 1-1, while the two prior meetings went Sambiase's way at 1-2 and 2-1. Sambiase's recent record of 8 goals for and 5 against contrasts with Ragusa's 5 for and 13 against. The model gives Sambiase a 74.9% win probability and a 2.18 expected-goal figure against Ragusa's 0.52. The evidence supports Sambiase win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Sambiase 2.18 – 0.52 Ragusa · expected total 2.70
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Sambiase
Ragusa
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone I
Sambiase
Ragusa
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone I teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Sambiase at home · Ragusa away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Sambiase (home)
Ragusa (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Ragusa 0 wins · 1 draw · Sambiase 3 wins · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 3 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Sambiase | 1–1 | Ragusa | Serie D - Girone I |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Ragusa | 1–2 | Sambiase | Serie D - Girone I |
| 02 Mar 2025 | Sambiase | 2–1 | Ragusa | Serie D - Girone I |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Ragusa | 0–1 | Sambiase | Serie D - Girone I |
📈 Recent Form
Sambiase
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Igea Virtus | Away | 4–2 | W |
| 25/10 | Nissa | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Calcio Avola | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 11/10 | Trapani 1905 | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Licata | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 27/09 | Vigor Lamezia | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 20/09 | Milazzo | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Modica | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Digiesse PraiaTortora | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 06/09 | Gela | Home | 2–1 | W |
Ragusa
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Reggina | Away | 2–5 | L |
| 25/10 | Vibonese | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 18/10 | Igea Virtus | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 11/10 | Nissa | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 04/10 | Calcio Avola | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 27/09 | Trapani 1905 | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 20/09 | Licata | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 16/09 | Vigor Lamezia | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 13/09 | Milazzo | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 06/09 | Modica | Home | 2–2 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone I
Sambiase #2 · 23 pts · Ragusa #17 · 3 pts
Sambiase
Ragusa
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Sambiase
Ragusa
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone I predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws