Modica vs Licata
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group I - 11
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 48.7% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 79.6% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 59.4% · Yes 40.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 65.1% · Over 34.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 15.1% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Modica · Home
Modica's five-match record shows 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with both victories coming by a 1-0 scoreline, including 1-0 at home to Licata. They also kept 2 clean sheets while failing to score in 2 matches, so their results have been narrow at both ends.
Licata · Away
Licata's latest five produced 2 wins and 3 losses, and they failed to score in 3 of those matches. Their most recent outing was a 0-1 home defeat to Digiesse PraiaTortora, and they lost the latest head-to-head at Modica 1-0.
Modica's 1-0 Edge
The latest head-to-head is the clearest guide: Modica beat Licata 1-0, and both of Modica's recent wins were also 1-0. Licata have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Modica's model expected goals of 1.33 sit above Licata's 0.77. With the contract also favouring Under 2.5 at 65.1% and BTTS No at 59.4%, a single-goal home margin is realistic rather than a stretch. The evidence supports Modica win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Modica 1.33 – 0.77 Licata · expected total 2.09
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Modica
Licata
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone I
Modica
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Licata
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone I teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Modica at home · Licata away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Modica (home)
Licata (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Licata 0 wins · 0 draws · Modica 1 win · avg 1 goals · BTTS in 0 of 1
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | Modica | 1–0 | Licata | Coppa Italia Serie D |
📈 Recent Form
Modica
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Gela | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 28/10 | Licata | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Milazzo | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 11/10 | Digiesse PraiaTortora | Away | 1–5 | L |
| 07/10 | Calcio Avola | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Enna | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Siracusa | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 20/09 | CastrumFavara | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Sambiase | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 13/09 | Reggina | Home | 0–1 | L |
Licata
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Digiesse PraiaTortora | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 28/10 | Modica | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 25/10 | Gela | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 18/10 | Siracusa | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | AC Palermo | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 07/10 | Trapani 1905 | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 04/10 | Sambiase | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Enna | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Ragusa | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 16/09 | CastrumFavara | Away | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone I
Modica #15 · 7 pts · Licata #6 · 17 pts
Modica
Licata
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Modica
Licata
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone I predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws