Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone I

Vibonese vs Modica

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group I - 12 • Stadio Luigi Razza • 🌦 17.3°C, 4 km/h, 0.4mm drizzle

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available63.1% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available85.6% —
BTTS No Current price not available48.5% · Yes 51.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available44.8% · Over 55.2% —
Correct Score 2-0 Current price not available11.4% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Vibonese 63.1% · Draw 22.5% · Modica 14.4%. Selected outcome: Vibonese win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Vibonese 2.03, Modica 0.87, expected total 2.90.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Vibonese: W-D-D-W-W in their last five matches.
Modica: W-L-L-W-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Vibonese

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)0.90
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1456

Modica

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1333
ViboneseModica
Goals scored (season avg)
2.20
0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.90
1.40
Best league winning streak this season
3
1
Elo strength rating
1456
1333

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Vibonese

Won 2 in a row Unbeaten 7
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Modica

BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone I

Vibonese

2nd best attack (2.20 goals/game, season) 3rd best defence (0.90 conceded/game, season) 3rd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6) 2nd best clean sheets (4, season)

Modica

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone I teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Vibonese at home · Modica away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Vibonese (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–0L
W 2
D 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0

Modica (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–4L
D 1
L 4
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score3
Vibonese (home)Modica (away)
W 2
D 2
D 1
L 4
Played
4
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
0.60
Goals conceded (avg)
0.50
2.00
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
0
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–0
11.37%
1–0
10.23%
2–1
9.92%
3–0
7.69%
3–1
6.7%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Vibonese

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Milazzo Home 2–1 W
25/10 Ragusa Away 3–1 W
18/10 Gela Home 1–1 D
11/10 Reggina Away 1–1 D
04/10 Digiesse PraiaTortora Home 2–0 W
27/09 Nissa Away 2–0 W
20/09 AC Palermo Home 3–0 W
16/09 Igea Virtus Away 3–4 L
12/09 Siracusa Home 1–1 D
06/09 Trapani 1905 Away 4–0 W

Modica

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Gela Home 0–1 L
28/10 Licata Home 1–0 W
25/10 Milazzo Away 0–1 L
11/10 Digiesse PraiaTortora Away 1–5 L
07/10 Calcio Avola Away 4–0 W
04/10 Enna Home 3–0 W
27/09 Siracusa Away 0–1 L
20/09 CastrumFavara Home 1–0 W
16/09 Sambiase Away 0–1 L
13/09 Reggina Home 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone I

Vibonese #3 · 21 pts ·  Modica #15 · 7 pts

Vibonese

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–3D–1L
W 6
D 3
L 1
Played10
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets4
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Modica

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–6L
W 2
D 1
L 6
Played9
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
ViboneseModica
W 6
D 3
L 1
W 2
D 1
L 6
Played
10
9
Goals scored (avg)
2.20
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
0.90
1.40
Clean sheets
4
2
Failed to score
0
4
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Vibonese

1
0-15
3
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
46-60
5
2
61-75
4
2
76-90
4
scored conceded

Modica

2
0-15
1
3
16-30
3
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone I predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws